Publications

Journal Articles

  1. Evans, B., Brown, A., Fegan, G., Ford, S., Guy, K., Jones, J., Jones, S., Keen, L., Khanom, A., Longo, M., Pallister, I., Rees, N., Russell, I., Seagrove, A., Watkins, A. Is fascia iliaca compartment block administered by paramedics for suspected hip fracture acceptable to patients? A qualitative study BMJ Open 9 12
  2. Gavalova, L., Halter, M., Snooks, H., Gale, C., Weston, C., Watkins, A., Munro, S., Davies, G., Hampton, C., Driscoll, T. Use and impact of the prehospital 12-lead ECG in the primary PCI era (PHECG2): protocol for a mixed-method study Open Heart 6 2
  3. Peconi, J., Macey, S., Rodgers, S., Russell, I., Snooks, H., Watkins, A. Does deprivation affect the demand for NHS Direct? Observational study of routine data from Wales BMJ Open 9 10 e029203
  4. Hollinghurst, J., Fry, R., Akbari, A., Clegg, A., Lyons, R., Watkins, A., Rodgers, S. External validation of the electronic Frailty Index using the population of Wales within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank Age and Ageing 48 6 922 926
  5. Watkins, A., John, A., Bradshaw, C., Jones, J., Jones, M. Schizophrenia in high risk opioid users: A short communication on an autopsy study Psychiatry Research 276 112 114
  6. Evans, B., Brown, A., Bulger, J., Fegan, G., Ford, S., Guy, K., Jones, S., Keen, L., Khanom, A., Longo, M., Pallister, I., Rees, N., Russell, I., Seagrove, A., Watkins, A., Snooks, H. Paramedics’ experiences of administering fascia iliaca compartment block to patients in South Wales with suspected hip fracture at the scene of injury: results of focus groups BMJ Open 9 2 e026073
  7. Price, C., Shaw, L., Dodd, P., Exley, C., Flynn, D., Francis, R., Islam, S., Javanbakht, M., Lakey, R., Lally, J., McClelland, G., McMeekin, P., Rodgers, H., Snooks, H., Sutcliffe, L., Tyrell, P., Vale, L., Watkins, A., Ford, G. Paramedic Acute Stroke Treatment Assessment (PASTA): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial Trials 20 1
  8. Parsons, S., Luzio, S., Harvey, J., Bain, S., Cheung, W., Watkins, A., Owens, D., Watkins, A., Bain, S., Luzio, S., Owens, D. Effect of structured self-monitoring of blood glucose, with and without additional TeleCare support, on overall glycaemic control in non-insulin treated Type 2 diabetes: the SMBG Study, a 12-month randomized controlled trial Diabetic Medicine
  9. Snooks, H., Bailey-Jones, K., Burge-Jones, D., Dale, J., Davies, J., Evans, B., Farr, A., Fitzsimmons, D., Heaven, M., Howson, H., Hutchings, H., John, G., Kingston, M., Lewis, L., Phillips, C., Porter, A., Sewell, B., Warm, D., Watkins, A., Whitman, S., Williams, V., Russell, I. Effects and costs of implementing predictive risk stratification in primary care: a randomised stepped wedge trial BMJ Quality & Safety bmjqs-2018-007976
  10. Poortinga, W., Rodgers, S., Lyons, R., Anderson, P., Tweed, C., Grey, C., Jiang, S., Johnson, R., Watkins, A., Winfield, T. The health impacts of energy performance investments in low-income areas: a mixed-methods approach Public Health Research 6 5 1 182
  11. Snooks, H., Bailey-Jones, K., Burge-Jones, D., Dale, J., Davies, J., Evans, B., Farr, A., Fitzsimmons, D., Harrison, J., Heaven, M., Howson, H., Hutchings, H., John, G., Kingston, M., Lewis, L., Phillips, C., Porter, A., Sewell, B., Warm, D., Watkins, A., Whitman, S., Williams, V., Russell, I. Predictive risk stratification model: a randomised stepped-wedge trial in primary care (PRISMATIC) Health Services and Delivery Research 6 1 1 164
  12. Oti Akuma, A., Jordan, S., Watkins, A. The Impact of Neonatal Service ReOrganisation on Feeding of Preterm Infants (<34 Weeks): A Prospective Cohort Study in a Regional Neonatal Unit from 1992 to 2010 Journal of Nursing and Health Studies 03 02
  13. Hollinghurst, J., Akbari, A., Fry, R., Watkins, A., Berridge, D., Clegg, A., Hillcoat-Nalletamby, S., Williams, N., Lyons, R., Mizen, A., Walters, A., Johnson, R., Rodgers, S. Study protocol for investigating the impact of community home modification services on hospital utilisation for fall injuries: a controlled longitudinal study using data linkage BMJ Open 8 10 e026290
  14. Harries, R., Cornish, J., Bosanquet, D., Rees, B., Horwood, J., Islam, S., Bashir, N., Watkins, A., Russell, I., Torkington, J. Hughes Abdominal Repair Trial (HART)—abdominal wall closure techniques to reduce the incidence of incisional hernias: feasibility trial for a multicentre, pragmatic, randomised controlled trial BMJ Open 7 12 e017235
  15. Battle, C., Hutchings, H., Abbott, Z., O’neill, C., Groves, S., Watkins, A., Lecky, F., Jones, S., Gagg, J., Body, R., Evans, P. 12 A multi-centre randomised feasibility study evaluating the impact of a prognostic model for management of blunt chest wall trauma patients: stumbl trial Emergency Medicine Journal 34 12 A868.2 A868
  16. Battle, C., Abbott, Z., Hutchings, H., O’Neill, C., Groves, S., Watkins, A., Lecky, F., Jones, S., Gagg, J., Body, R., Evans, P., Evans, A., Groves, S. Protocol for a multicentre randomised feasibility STUdy evaluating the impact of a prognostic model for Management of BLunt chest wall trauma patients: STUMBL trial BMJ Open 7 7 e015972
  17. Peconi, J., Macey, S., Rodgers, S., Russell, I., Snooks, H., Watkins, A. Advice given by NHS Direct in Wales: do deprived patients get more urgent decisions? Study of routine data Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 71 9 849 856
  18. Parsons, S., Luzio, S., Bain, S., Harvey, J., McKenna, J., Khan, A., Rice, S., Watkins, A., Owens, D., Bain, S. Self-monitoring of Blood Glucose in Non-Insulin Treated Type 2 Diabetes (The SMBG Study): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial BMC Endocrine Disorders 17 1
  19. Snooks, H., Anthony, R., Chatters, R., Dale, J., Fothergill, R., Gaze, S., Halter, M., Humphreys, I., Koniotou, M., Logan, P., Lyons, R., Mason, S., Nicholl, J., Peconi, J., Phillips, C., Porter, A., Siriwardena, A., Wani, M., Watkins, A., Wilson, L., Russell, I. Paramedic Assessment of Older Adults After Falls, Including Community Care Referral Pathway: Cluster Randomized Trial Annals of Emergency Medicine 70 4 495 505.e28
  20. Snooks, H., Anthony, R., Chatters, R., Dale, J., Fothergill, R., Gaze, S., Halter, M., Humphreys, I., Koniotou, M., Logan, P., Lyons, R., Mason, S., Nicholl, J., Peconi, J., Phillips, C., Phillips, J., Porter, A., Siriwardena, A., Smith, G., Toghill, A., Wani, M., Watkins, A., Whitfield, R., Wilson, L., Russell, I. Support and Assessment for Fall Emergency Referrals (SAFER) 2: a cluster randomised trial and systematic review of clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of new protocols for emergency ambulance paramedics to assess older people following a fall with referral to community-based care when appropriate Health Technology Assessment 21 13 1 218
  21. Cornish, J., Harries, R., Bosanquet, D., Rees, B., Ansell, J., Frewer, N., Dhruva Rao, P., Parry, C., Ellis-Owen, R., Phillips, S., Morris, C., Horwood, J., Davies, M., Davies, M., Hargest, R., Davies, Z., Hilton, J., Harris, D., Ben-Sassi, A., Rajagopal, R., Hanratty, D., Islam, S., Watkins, A., Bashir, N., Jones, S., Russell, I., Torkington, J., Watkins, A., Islam, S. Hughes Abdominal Repair Trial (HART) – Abdominal wall closure techniques to reduce the incidence of incisional hernias: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial Trials 17 1
  22. Williams, J., Alam, M., Alrubaiy, L., Arnott, I., Clement, C., Cohen, D., Gordon, J., Hawthorne, A., Hilton, M., Hutchings, H., Jawhari, A., Longo, M., Mansfield, J., Morgan, J., Rapport, F., Seagrove, A., Sebastian, S., Shaw, I., Travis, S., Watkins, A., Alam, F. Infliximab versus ciclosporin for steroid-resistant acute severe ulcerative colitis (CONSTRUCT): a mixed methods, open-label, pragmatic randomised trial The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology 1 1 15 24
  23. Williams, J., Alam, F., Alrubaiy, L., Clement, C., Cohen, D., Grey, M., Hilton, M., Hutchings, H., Longo, M., Morgan, J., Rapport, F., Seagrove, A., Watkins, A., Alam, F. Comparison Of iNfliximab and ciclosporin in STeroid Resistant Ulcerative Colitis: pragmatic randomised Trial and economic evaluation (CONSTRUCT) Health Technology Assessment 20 44 1 320
  24. Hutchings, H., Alrubiay, L., Watkins, A., Cheung, W., Seagrove, A., Williams, J., Watkins, A., Hutchings, H., Williams, J. Validation of the Crohns and Ulcerative Colitis questionnaire in patients with acute severe ulcerative colitis United European Gastroenterology Journal
  25. Jordan, S., Murphy, F., Boucher, C., Davies, S., Brown, A., Watkins, A., de Lloyd, L., Morgan, M., Morgan, G., Jordan, S., Jordan, S. High dose versus low dose opioid epidural regimens for pain relief in labour Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 5 CD012135
  26. Briel, M., Jordan, S., Gabe-Walters, M., Watkins, A., Humphreys, I., Newson, L., Snelgrove, S., Dennis, M., Jordan, S. Nurse-Led Medicines' Monitoring for Patients with Dementia in Care Homes: A Pragmatic Cohort Stepped Wedge Cluster Randomised Trial PLOS ONE 10 10 e0140203
  27. Lynch, T., Whalley, B., Hempel, R., Byford, S., Clarke, P., Clarke, S., Kingdon, D., O'Mahen, H., Russell, I., Shearer, J., Stanton, M., Swales, M., Watkins, A., Remington, B., Watkins, A. Refractory depression: mechanisms and evaluation of radically open dialectical behaviour therapy (RO-DBT) [REFRAMED]: protocol for randomised trial BMJ Open 5 7 e008857
  28. Alrubaiy, L., Cheung, W., Dodds, P., Hutchings, H., Russell, I., Watkins, A., Williams, J. Development of a Short Questionnaire to Assess the Quality of Life in Crohn’s Disease and Ulcerative Colitis Journal of Crohn's and Colitis 9 1 66 76
  29. Seagrove, A., Alam, F., Alrubaiy, ., Cheung, ., Clement, ., Cohen, D., Grey , M., Hilton, M., Hutchings, H., Morgan, J., Rapport, F., Roberts, S., Russell, D., Russell, I., Thomas, L., Thorne, K., Watkins, A., Williams, J., Clement, C., Alrubaiy, L. Randomised Controlled Trial to Compare Infliximab and Ciclosporin in Steroid Resistant Ulcerative Colitis: trial design and protocol BMJ Open 4:e005091
  30. Snooks, H., Carter, B., Dale, J., Foster, T., Humphreys, I., Logan, P., Lyons, R., Mason, S., Phillips, C., Sanchez, A., Wani, M., Watkins, A., Wells, B., Whitfield, R., Russell, I. Support and Assessment for Fall Emergency Referrals (SAFER 1): Cluster Randomised Trial of Computerised Clinical Decision Support for Paramedics PLoS ONE 9 9 e106436
  31. Williams, A., Phillips, C., Watkins, A., Rushton, A. The effect of work-based mentoring on patient outcome in musculoskeletal physiotherapy: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial Trials 15 1 409
  32. Tasker, L., Shapcott, N., Watkins, A., Holland, P., Watkins, A. The effect of seat shape on the risk of pressure ulcers using discomfort and interface pressure measurements Prosthetics and Orthotics International
  33. Simintiras, A., Ifie, K., Watkins, A., Georgakas, K. Antecedents of adaptive selling among retail salespeople: A multilevel analysis Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services 20 4 419 428
  34. Jordan, S., Watkins, A., Storey, M., Allen, S., Brooks, C., Garaiova, I., Heaven, M., Jones, R., Plummer, S., Russell, I., Thornton, C., Morgan, G., Storey, M. Volunteer Bias in Recruitment, Retention, and Blood Sample Donation in a Randomised Controlled Trial Involving Mothers and Their Children at Six Months and Two Years: A Longitudinal Analysis PLoS ONE 8 7 e67912
  35. Simintiras, A., Watkins, A., Ifie, K., Georgakas, K. Individual and contextual influences on the affective commitment of retail salespeople Journal of Marketing Management 28 11-12 1377
  36. Snooks, H., Anthony, R., Chatters, R., Cheung, W., Dale, J., Donohoe, R., Gaze, S., Halter, M., Koniotou, M., Logan, P., Lyons, R., Mason, S., Nicholl, J., Phillips, C., Phillips, J., Russell, I., Siriwardena, A., Wani, M., Watkins, A., Whitfield, R., Wilson, L., Watkins, A., Phillips, C., Snooks, H., Phillips, J. Support and assessment for fall emergency referrals (SAFER 2) research protocol: cluster randomised trial of the clinical and cost effectiveness of new protocols for emergency ambulance paramedics to assess and refer to appropriate community-based care BMJ Open 2 6 e002169 e002169
  37. Watkins, A. On an Integral Related to the Burr XII Distribution Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 40 21 3779
  38. Jacobs, G., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On the exchange of censorship types and maximum likelihood estimation for parameters in lifetime distributions 59
  39. Guerrero, K., Emery, S., Wareham, K., Ismail, S., Watkins, A., Lucas, M., Watkins, A. A randomised controlled trial comparing TVTTM, PelvicolTM and autologous fascial slings for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence in women BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology 117 12 1493
  40. Jalali, A., Watkins, A. On Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Two Parameter Burr XII Distribution Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 38 11 1916
  41. Jordan, S., Emery, S., Watkins, A., Evans, J., Storey, M., Morgan, G., Watkins, A., Jordan, S., Storey, M. Associations of drugs routinely given in labour with breastfeeding at 48 hours: analysis of the Cardiff Births Survey BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology 116 12 1622
  42. Sugar, A., Gibbons, A., Patton, D., Silvester, K., Hodder, S., Gray, M., Snooks, H., Watkins, A., Watkins, A., Snooks, H. A randomised controlled trial comparing fixation of mandibular angle fractures with a single miniplate placed either transbuccally and intra-orally, or intra-orally alone International Journal of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery 38 3 241 245
  43. Sabit, R., T.L., G., Watkins, A., Evans, W., C.E., B., D.J., S., K.E., L., Lewis, K. Predictors Of Poor Attendance At An Outpatient Pulmonary Rehabilitation Programme Respiratory Medicine 102 6 819 824
  44. Ip, B., Jacobs, G., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Gaming frequency and academic performance 24
  45. Davies, M., Arumugam, P., Shah, V., Watkins, A., Morgan, A., Carr, N., Beynon, J., Watkins, A. The clinical significance of lymph node micrometastasis in stage I and stage II colorectal cancer Clinical and Translational Oncology 10 3 175 179
  46. Karela, M., Berry, S., Watkins, A., Phillipps, J., Watkins, A. Myringoplasty: surgical outcomes and hearing improvement: is it worth performing to improve hearing? European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology 265 9 1042
  47. Watkins, A., John, A., Watkins, A. On constant stress accelerated life tests terminated by Type II censoring at one of the stress levels Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 138 3 768 786
  48. Guerrero, K., Watkins, A., Emery, S., Wareham, K., Stephenson, T., Logan, V., Lucas, M., Watkins, A. A randomised controlled trial comparing two autologous fascial sling techniques for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence in women: short, medium and long-term follow-up International Urogynecology Journal 18 11 1263
  49. Hirst, G., Watkins, A., Guerrero, K., Wareham, K., Emery, S., Jones, D., Lucas, M., Watkins, A. Botulinum Toxin B Is Not an Effective Treatment of Refractory Overactive Bladder Urology 69 1 69
  50. Lewis, K., Bartle, I., Watkins, A., Seale, L., Ebden, P., Watkins, A., Lewis, K. Simple interventions improve re-attendance when treating the sleep apnoea syndrome Sleep Medicine 7 3 241 247
  51. Berry, S., Roblin, G., Williams, A., Watkins, A., Whittet, H., Watkins, A. Validity Of Sleep Nasendoscopy in the Investigation of Sleep Related Breathing Disorders The Laryngoscope 115 3 538 540
  52. Chandrasekaran, T., Morgan, R., Mason, R., Mangat, P., Watkins, A., Carr, N., Watkins, A. Nutrient induced thermogenesis during major colorectal excision - a pilot study Colorectal Disease 7 1 74 78
  53. Jacobs, G., Rogers, C., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Students and French literature: A case-study 103
  54. Jordan, S., Emery, S., Bradshaw, C., Watkins, A., Friswell, W., Watkins, A. The Impact of Intrapartum Analgesia on Infant Feeding Obstetrical & Gynecological Survey 60 12 790 791
  55. Hirst, G., Arumugam, P., Watkins, A., Mackey, P., Morgan, A., Carr, N., Beynon, J., Watkins, A. Antegrade continence enema in the treatment of obstructed defaecation with or without faecal incontinence Techniques in Coloproctology 9 3 217
  56. Lewis, K., Seale, L., Bartle, I., Watkins, A., Ebden, P. Early Predictors of CPAP Use for the Treatment of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Sleep 27 1 134 138
  57. Gupta, A., Watkins, A., Thomas, P., Majer, R., Habubi, N., Morris, G., Pansari, K., Watkins, A. Coagulation and inflammatory markers in Alzheimer's and vascular dementia International Journal of Clinical Practice 59 1 52
  58. Arumugam, P., Bevan, L., Macdonald, L., Watkins, A., Morgan, A., Beynon, J., Carr, N., Watkins, A. A prospective audit of stomas-analysis of risk factors and complications and their management Colorectal Disease 5 1 49 52
  59. Haigh, J., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Editorial: Restructuring the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52 1 1 2
  60. Rodgers, C., Jacobs, G., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Requiem for French literary studies 98
  61. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On the likelihood function for the three parameter Burr XII distribution 8
  62. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Commentary: inference in simple step-stress models IEEE Transactions on Reliability 50 1 36 37
  63. Lewis, K., Watkins, A., Bartle, I., Hutchings, H., Ebden, P., Watkins, A. Predicting CPAP machine use in treating obstructive sleep apnoea 55
  64. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On computing a likelihood ratio test statistic in physiological response slope studies 42
  65. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Statistical inferences for breakdown voltages IEEE Transactions on Dielectrics and Electrical Insulation 7 6 869 871
  66. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. An algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation in the three parameter Burr XII distribution 32
  67. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. A note on expected fisher information for the Burr XII distribution 37
  68. Watkins, A., Leech, D., Watkins, A. Stochastic amortization and manufacturing profitability 29
  69. Watkins, A., Leech, D., Watkins, A. Stochastic amortization and manufacturing profitability 29
  70. Watkins, A., Heatley, P., Watkins, A. Polynomial expansions in likelihoods for spatial data: A case study 28
  71. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On maximum likelihood estimation for the two parameter Weibull distribution Microelectronics Reliability 36 5 595 603
  72. Watkins, A. Review: likelihood method for fitting Weibull log-linear models to accelerated life-test data IEEE Transactions on Reliability 43 3 361 365
  73. Watkins, A., Ngadiman, M., Watkins, A. Comment onestimation of the transfer function by autoregressive deconvolution techniques?An application to time series analysis by Y. S. Kang, J. J. Royer, Cl. Chambon, and L. Demassieux Mathematical Geology 25 8 1071 1073
  74. Witt, S., Newbould, G., Watkins, A. Forecastin Domestic Tourism Demand: Application to Las Vegas Arrivals Data Journal of Travel Research 31 1 36 41
  75. Watkins, A., Mardia, K., Watkins, A. Maximum likelihood estimation and prediction mean square error in the spatial linear model Journal of Applied Statistics 19 1 49 59
  76. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On models of spatial covariance Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 13 4 473 481
  77. Leech, D., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On the Assessment of Equipment Reliability: Trading Data Collection Costs for Precision Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part B: Journal of Engineering Manufacture 205 2 105 109
  78. Leech, D., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On the assessment of equipment reliability. Trading data collection costs for precision 205
  79. Watkins, A., Leech, D., Watkins, A. Methods for the continuous assessment of reliability of specialized equipment 7
  80. Watkins, A. On the analysis of accelerated life-testing experiments IEEE Transactions on Reliability 40 1 98 101
  81. Leech, D., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Some factors affecting precision in estimators of parameters of lifetime distributions Reliability Engineering & System Safety 29 2 249 260
  82. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On polynomial expansions for likelihoods of spatial data with finite range correlation function Biometrika 77 2 404 408
  83. Watkins, A., Al-Boutiahi, F., Watkins, A. On maximum likelihood estimation of parameters in incorrectly specified models of covariance for spatial data Mathematical Geology 22 2 151 173
  84. Jalali-Naini, A., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On a class of three dimensional radially symmetric positive definite functions Metrika 36 1 327 330
  85. Watkins, A., Leech, D., Watkins, A. Towards Automatic Assessment of Reliability for Data from a Weibull Distribution Reliability Engineering & System Safety 24 4 343 350
  86. Mardia, K., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. On multimodality of the likelihood in the spatial linear model Biometrika 76 2 289 295
  87. Watkins, A. Examples of Uncorrelated Dependent Variables Teaching Statistics 10 1 29 29
  88. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Risk for Congenital Rubella Clinical Infectious Diseases 8 5 830 830

Conference Contributions

  1. Tudor, P., Watkins, A. Does distribution choice matter in practical reliability analysis? 2016 Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS) 1 6
  2. Franklin, D., Crofts, H., Watkins, A., Watkins, A. The Geostatistical Toolkit: Using Advanced Visualisation To Interpret Geostatistical Data
  3. Parish, R., Calderbank, V., Watkins, A., Muggeridge, A., Goode, A., Robinson, P., Watkins, A. Effective History Matching: The Application of Advanced Software Techniques to the History-Matching Process
  4. Watkins, A., Watkins, A. Linking Universal Kriging and Reservoir History Matching
  5. Watkins, A., Modine, A., Watkins, A. A Stochastic Role for Engineering Input to Reservoir History Matching