Professor Michael Gravenor

Professor, Health Data Science

m.b.gravenor@swansea.ac.uk

Director Cellular Office - 101
First Floor
Data Science Building
Singleton Campus

Available For Postgraduate Supervision

Research Links

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0710-0947

ResearchGate

Google Scholar

About

Mike is Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiology at the Institute of Life Science. He is involved in a wide range of projects based on the application of statistical models to problems in medical, biological, and environmental sciences. His first degree was Natural Sciences at Cambridge, followed by a DPhil at the Department of Zoology at Oxford, supported by a NERC award. He took an MRC Fellowship to the Institute of Molecular Medicine at Oxford University (now the Weatherall Institute) and then joined a large BBSRC project during the BSE crisis to work at the Institute for Animal Health, Compton. Mike joined the Swansea College of Medicine as a Senior Lecturer in 2003, and was appointed to a personal Chair in 2007. His research ranges from analysis of large linked databases for cardiovascular epidemiology, to mathematical modelling of infectious diseases, statistical models of viral evolution and biomarkers for the impact of climate change on environmental systems.

Areas Of Expertise

Statistical Methods
Epidemiology
Mathematical Modelling
Mathematical Biology

Career Highlights

Teaching Interests

Teaching Statistics to Biologists

Publications

Research Highlights

Emmerson, C., Adamson, J., Turner, D., Gravenor, M., Salmon, J., Cottrell, S., Middleton, V., Thomas, B., Mason, B., & Williams, C. (2021). Risk factors for outbreaks of COVID‐19 in care homes following hospital discharge: A national cohort analysis. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 15(3), 371-380.
https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12831, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa57776
Cooksey, R., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Brooks, C., Burrows, C., Siebert, S., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Brooks, C., & Cooksey, R. (2010). Frequency and characteristics of disease flares in ankylosing spondylitis. Rheumatology, 49(5), 929-932.
https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/kep435, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa23149
http://europepmc.org/abstract/med/20123954
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Bodger, O., John, A., Brunt, H., Jones, K., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., & Gravenor, M. (2014). Local Modelling Techniques for Assessing Micro-Level Impacts of Risk Factors in Complex Data: Understanding Health and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Childhood Educational Attainments. PLoS ONE, 9(11), e113592
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0113592, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24546
Hays, G., FOSSETTE, S., KATSELIDIS, K., SCHOFIELD, G., GRAVENOR, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Breeding Periodicity for Male Sea Turtles, Operational Sex Ratios, and Implications in the Face of Climate Change. Conservation Biology, 24(6), 1636-1643.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01531.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa922
Jones, S., Williams, R., & Gravenor, M. (2005). Monitoring trends in obesity in South Wales using routine data. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 90(5), 464-467.
https://doi.org/10.1136/adc.2003.048520, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa1226
Moller, M., Gravenor, M., Roberts, S., Sun, D., Gao, P., Hopkin, J., Hopkin, J., Gravenor, M., Roberts, S., & Moller, M. (2007). Genetic haplotypes of Th-2 immune signalling link allergy to enhanced protection to parasitic worms. Human Molecular Genetics, 16(15), 1828-1836.
https://doi.org/10.1093/hmg/ddm131, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa1397
Hays, G., Bastian, T., Doyle, T., Fossette, S., Gleiss, A., Gravenor, M., Hobson, V., Humphries, N., Lilley, M., Pade, N., Sims, D., Gravenor, M., & Hobson, V. (2011). High activity and Levy searches: jellyfish can search the water column like fish. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2011.0978, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa6132
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., Gravenor, M., Kelbert, M., Sazonov, I., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Travelling waves in a network of SIR epidemic nodes with an approximation of weak coupling. Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 28(2), 165-183.
https://doi.org/10.1093/imammb/dqq016, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7261
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2008). The Speed of Epidemic Waves in a One-Dimensional Lattice of SIR Models. Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, 3(4), 28-47.
https://doi.org/10.1051/mmnp:2008069, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7262
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2011). A two-stage model for the SIR outbreak: Accounting for the discrete and stochastic nature of the epidemic at the initial contamination stage. Mathematical Biosciences, 234(2), 108-117.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2011.09.002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7975
Allen, S., Jordan, S., Gravenor, M., & Storey, M. (2010). Dietary supplementation with lactobacilli and bifidobacteria was well tolerated and not associated with adverse events during late pregnancy and early infancy.. Journal of Nutrition, 140, 483-8.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa9793
Brophy, S., Burrows, C., Brooks, C., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Brooks, C., & Siebert, S. (2008). Internet-based randomised controlled trials for the evaluation of complementary and alternative medicines: probiotics in spondyloarthropathy. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders, 9, 4
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa9971
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Gravenor, M., Weston, C., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., & Lyons, R. (2010). Population based absolute and relative survival to 1 year of people with diabetes following a myocardial infarction: A cohort study using hospital admissions data. BMC Public Health 2010, 10, 338
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-338, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10197
Bodger, O., Byrne, A., Evans, A., Gravenor, M., Jones, C., Rees, S., Williams, R., Gravenor, M., Rees, S., & Evans, A. (2011). Graduate Entry Medicine: selection criteria and student performance. PLoS ONE, 6(11), e27161
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027161, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10448
Davies, A., Hinder, S., Hays, G., Brooks, C., Davies, A., Edwards, M., Walne, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Toxic marine microalgae and shellfish poisoning in the British isles: history, review of epidemiology, and future implications. Environmental Health, 10(1), 54
https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-10-54, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10455
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Gravenor, M., Mistry, R., Thomas, N., Lyons, R., & Williams, R. (2009). Risk factors for childhood obesity at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health, 9(1), 467
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-467, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10460
Hinder, S., Hays, G., Edwards, M., Roberts, E., Walne, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Changes in marine dinoflagellate and diatom abundance under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 2(4), 271-275.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1388, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa13153
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Constructing compact Takagi-Sugeno rule systems: Identification of complex interactions in epidemiological data. PLoS ONE, 7(12), e51468
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0051468, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa13931
Kelbert, M., Sazonov, I., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Critical reaction time during a disease outbreak. Ecological Complexity, 8(4), 326-335.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2011.07.002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa14653
Atkinson, M., Brophy, S., Siebert, S., Gravenor, M., Phillips, C., Ford, D., Jones, K., & Lyons, R. (2010). Protocol for a population-based Ankylosing Spondylitis (PAS) cohort in Wales. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders, 11(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2474-11-197, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa14774
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Wang, D., Bradley, C., Hutchings, H., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Gravenor, M., & Mack, D. (2013). Lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older inpatients (PLACIDE): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial. The Lancet, 382(9900), 1249-1257.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61218-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa15897
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Wang, D., Bradley, C., Sewell, B., Hutchings, H., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Gravenor, M., Mack, D., Phillips, C., Hutchings, H., Gravenor, M., & Sewell, B. (2013). A high-dose preparation of lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel arm trial (PLACIDE). Health Technology Assessment, 17(57)
https://doi.org/10.3310/hta17570, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa16163
Friedmann, Y., Gravenor, M., Bodger, O., Temple, M., Gravenor, M., & Friedmann, Y. (2012). Impact of hand washing on bacteraemia rates. BMJ, 344(jun25 2), e4299-e4299.
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.e4299, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa16946
Allen, S., Jordan, S., Storey, M., Thornton, C., Gravenor, M., Garaiova, I., Plummer, S., Wang, D., & Morgan, G. (2014). Probiotics in the prevention of eczema: a randomised controlled trial. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 99(11), 1014-1019.
https://doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2013-305799, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa18103
Charlton, R., Gravenor, M., Rees, A., Knox, G., Hill, R., Rahman, M., Jones, K., Christian, D., Baker, J., Stratton, G., & Brophy, S. (2014). Factors associated with low fitness in adolescents – A mixed methods study. BMC Public Health, 14(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-14-764, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24593
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-14-764
Zhou, S., Hill, R., Morgan, K., Stratton, G., Gravenor, M., Bijlsma, G., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Zhou, S., & Stratton, G. (2015). Classification of accelerometer wear and non-wear events in seconds for monitoring free-living physical activity. BMJ Open, 5(5), e007447-e007447.
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007447, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24621
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2016). Random migration processes between two stochastic epidemic centers. Mathematical Biosciences, 274, 45-57.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2016.01.011, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa26751
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025556416000225
Wilson, R., Holton, M., Walker, J., Shepard, E., Scantlebury, D., Wilson, V., Wilson, G., Tysse, B., Gravenor, M., Ciancio, J., McNarry, M., Mackintosh, K., Qasem, L., Rosell, F., Graf, P., Quintana, F., Gomez-Laich, A., Sala, J., Mulvenna, C...., & Gravenor, M. (2016). A spherical-plot solution to linking acceleration metrics with animal performance, state, behaviour and lifestyle. Movement Ecology, 4(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-016-0088-3, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa30318
Halcox, J., Wareham, K., Cardew, A., Gilmore, M., Barry, J., Phillips, C., & Gravenor, M. (2017). Assessment of Remote Heart Rhythm Sampling Using the AliveCor Heart Monitor to Screen for Atrial Fibrillation. Circulation, 136(19), 1784-1794.
https://doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.030583, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa35067
http://dx.doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.030583
Davies, G., Jordan, S., Brooks, C., Thayer, D., Storey, M., Morgan, G., Allen, S., Garaiova, I., Plummer, S., & Gravenor, M. (2018). Long term extension of a randomised controlled trial of probiotics using electronic health records. Scientific Reports, 8(1)
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-25954-z, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa40240
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Obaid, D., Smith, D., Jenkins, G., Barry, J., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2019). Early Discontinuation of P2Y12 Antagonists and Adverse Clinical Events Post–Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Hospital and Primary Care Linked Cohort. Journal of the American Heart Association, 8(21), A74
https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.012812, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa40257
Harris, D., Thayer, D., Wang, T., Brooks, C., Murley, G., Gravenor, M., Hill, N., Lister, S., & Halcox, J. (2021). An observational study of international normalized ratio control according to NICE criteria in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the SAIL Warfarin Out of Range Descriptors Study (SWORDS). European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy, 7(1), 40-49.
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjcvp/pvz071, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa52906
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ehjcvp/pvz071
Torabi, F., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Harris, D., Lyons, R., Halcox, J., & Gravenor, M. (2020). Machine learning approaches in for prediction of 1-year risk of major bleeding events in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients with atrial fibrillation in Wales.. In ESC Heart & Stroke 2020
https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.14854.11840, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa53813
https://escheart-stroke2020.org/programme/
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Smith, D., Jenkins, G., Obaid, D., Chase, A., Gravenor, M., Halcox, J., & Torabi, F. (2020). Achievement of European guideline-recommended lipid levels post-percutaneous coronary intervention: A population-level observational cohort study. European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 204748732091411
https://doi.org/10.1177/2047487320914115, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa53918
Newton, P. & Gravenor, M. (2020). A higher percentage of Higher Education Academy (HEA) qualifications among universities’ staff does not appear to be positively associated with higher ratings of student satisfaction. A Letter of Concern in response to Nurunnabi et al MethodsX 6 (2019) 788–799. MethodsX, 100911
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2020.100911, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54210
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2018). EARLY DISCONTINUATION OF P2Y12 ANTAGONISTS AND ADVERSE CLINICAL OUTCOMES POST PERCUTANEOUS CORONARY INTERVENTION. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 71(11), A74
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0735-1097(18)30615-6, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54252
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2018). Discontinuation of Statins and Adverse Clinical Outcomes Post Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. In Circulation
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54258
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/circ.138.suppl_1.14994
Hollinghurst, J., Lyons, J., Fry, R., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Watkins, A., Verity, F., & Lyons, R. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 on adjusted mortality risk in care homes for older adults in Wales, UK: a retrospective population-based cohort study for mortality in 2016–2020. Age and Ageing, 50(1), 25-31.
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afaa207, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55264
Lyons, J., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Davies, G., North, L., Griffiths, R., Bailey, R., Hollinghurst, J., Fry, R., Turner, S., Thompson, D., Rafferty, J., Mizen, A., Orton, C., Ellwood-Thompson, S., Au-Yeung, L., Cross, L., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S...., & Lyons, R. (2020). Understanding and responding to COVID-19 in Wales: protocol for a privacy-protecting data platform for enhanced epidemiology and evaluation of interventions. BMJ Open, 10(10), e043010
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043010, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55501
Wells, K., Lurgi Rivera, M., Collins, B., Lucini, B., Kao, R., Lloyd, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2020). Disease control across urban–rural gradients. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 17(173), 20200775
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0775, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55650
Torabi, F., Harris, D., Akbari, A., Bodger, O., Lyons, R., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2020). Longitudinal study of adherence to anticoagulation guidelines in patients with atrial fibrillation. European Heart Journal, 41(Supplement_2)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.3524, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55791
Thompson, D., Abbasizanjani, H., Fry, R., Marchant, E., Griffiths, L., Akbari, A., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Lyons, J., Torabi, F., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2021). Staff-Pupil SARS-CoV-2 Infection Pathways in Schools: A Population Level Linked Data Approach. medRxiv
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.04.21251087, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56212
Torabi, F., Akbari, A., North, L., Harris, D., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., Griffiths, R., Lyons, J., Jenkins, N., Morris, A., Halcox, J., & Lyons, R. (2021). Evaluating the effect of COVID-19 on dispensing patterns: a national cohort analysis. Research Square Preprint
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-233848/v1, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56571
Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Perry, M., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Lyons, R., & Fry, R. (2021). COVID-19 Infection Risk amongst 14,104 Vaccinated Care Home Residents: A national observational longitudinal cohort study in Wales, United Kingdom, December 2020 to March 2021. medRxiv
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.19.21253940, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56588
Thompson, D., Abbasizanjani, H., Fry, R., Marchant, E., Griffiths, L., Akbari, A., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Lyons, J., Torabi, F., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2021). Staff–pupil SARS-CoV-2 infection pathways in schools in Wales: a population-level linked data approach. BMJ Paediatrics Open, 5(1), e001049
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjpo-2021-001049, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56848
Gravenor, M. (2015). The role of point-of-care assessment of platelet function in predicting postoperative bleeding and transfusion requirements after coronary artery bypass grafting. Annals of Cardiac Anaesthesia, 18(1), 45-51.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24552
http://annals.in/article.asp?issn=0971-9784;year=2015;volume=18;issue=1;spage=45;epage=51;aulast=Mishra
Allen, S., Gravenor, M., Wareham, K., & Wang, D. (2014). Probiotics and antibiotic-associated diarrhoea – Authors' reply. The Lancet, 383(9911), 30
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62735-X, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19424
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2014). A new view on migration processes between SIR centra: an account of the different dynamics of host and guest. arxiv, 1401.6830
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19593
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Bradley, C., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Cheung, W., Gravenor, M., Plummer, S., Phillips, C., & Mack, D. (2012). A multicentre randomised controlled trial evaluating lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: the PLACIDE study protocol. BMC Infectious Diseases, 12(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-12-108, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19438
Hinder, S., Manning, J., Gravenor, M., Edwards, M., Walne, A., Burkill, P., Hays, G., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Long-term changes in abundance and distribution of microzooplankton in the NE Atlantic and North Sea. Journal of Plankton Research, 34(1), 83-91.
https://doi.org/10.1093/plankt/fbr087, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19440
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Lyons, R., Thomas, N., Rodgers, S., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Parental factors associated with walking to school and participation in organised activities at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health, 11(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-14, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19446
Adkin, A., Andreoletti, O., Comer, P., Ducrot, C., Gravenor, M., Greiner, M., Hope, J., Muller-Graf, C., & Vanopdenbosch, E. (2011). Scientific Opinion on the revision of the quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of the BSE risk posed by processed animal proteins (PAPs). EFSA Journal, 9(1)
https://doi.org/10.2903/j.efsa.2011.1947, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19590
Li, W., Delport, W., Scheffler, K., Botha, G., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Kosakovsky Pond, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). CodonTest: Modeling Amino Acid Substitution Preferences in Coding Sequences. PLoS Computational Biology, 6(8), e1000885
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000885, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19434
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Construction of parsimonious Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy rule based model in characterising impacts of child health, socioeconomic deprivations on educational outcomes. IEEE Fuzzy Systems, 1-8.
https://doi.org/10.1109/FUZZY.2010.5583937, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19448
Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Siebert, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Major flares as a diagnostic and prognostic measure when assessing ankylosing spondylitis severity. International Journal of Clinical Rheumatology, 5(4), 399-401.
https://doi.org/10.2217/ijr.10.34, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19450
Bunting, H., Still, R., Williams, D., Gravenor, M., Austin, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Evaluation of Plasma Glutamate Levels in Normal Tension Glaucoma. Ophthalmic Research, 43(4), 197-200.
https://doi.org/10.1159/000272024, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19454
Poon, A., Delport, W., Scheffler, K., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Kosakovsky Pond, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Benchmarking Multi-Rate Codon Models. PLoS ONE, 5(7), e11587
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0011587, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19429
Fraser, C., Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Stawiski, E., Chappey, C., Poon, A., Hughes, G., Fearnhill, E., Gravenor, M., Leigh Brown, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2009). An Evolutionary Model-Based Algorithm for Accurate Phylogenetic Breakpoint Mapping and Subtype Prediction in HIV-1. PLoS Computational Biology, 5(11), e1000581
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000581, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19435
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Scheffler, K., Gravenor, M., Poon, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Evolutionary Fingerprinting of Genes. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 27(3), 520-536.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msp260, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10778
http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/27/3/520.abstract
Howard, C., Martin, M., Hope, J., Charleston, B., Gravenor, M., Kao, R., & Gravenor, M. (2007). Mycobacterium bovis shedding patterns from experimentally infected calves and the effect of concurrent infection with bovine viral diarrhoea virus. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 4(14), 545-551.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2006.0190, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19459
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Mannino, F., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Evolutionary Model Selection with a Genetic Algorithm: A Case Study Using Stem RNA. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 24(1), 159-170.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msl144, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19460
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Gravenor, M., Woelk, C., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). GARD: a genetic algorithm for recombination detection. Bioinformatics, 22(24), 3096-3098.
https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btl474, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19461
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Woelk, C., Gravenor, M., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Automated Phylogenetic Detection of Recombination Using a Genetic Algorithm. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 23(10), 1891-1901.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msl051, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19462
Pegge, N., Twomey, A., Vaughton, K., Gravenor, M., Ramsey, M., Price, D., & Gravenor, M. (2006). The role of endothelial dysfunction in the pathophysiology of erectile dysfunction in diabetes and in determining response to treatment. Diabetic Medicine, 23(8), 873-878.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-5491.2006.01911.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19463
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Frost, S., Grossman, Z., Gravenor, M., Richman, D., & Brown, A. (2006). Adaptation to Different Human Populations by HIV-1 Revealed by Codon-Based Analyses. PLoS Computational Biology, 2(6), e62
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.0020062, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19464
Nicholls, N., Kruuk, L., Woolhouse, M., Stevenson, E., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Investigation of farmer regard for scrapiesusceptible sheep. Veterinary Record, 158(21), 732-734.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.21.732, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19465
Baylis, M., Chihota, C., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Correction. Veterinary Record, 158(25), 870-870.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.25.870, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19466
Haydon, D., Randall, D., Matthews, L., Knobel, D., Tallents, L., Gravenor, M., Williams, S., Pollinger, J., Cleaveland, S., Woolhouse, M., Sillero-Zubiri, C., Marino, J., Macdonald, D., Laurenson, M., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Low-coverage vaccination strategies for the conservation of endangered species. Nature, 443(7112), 692-695.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05177, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19430
Stallard, N., Gravenor, M., Curnow, R., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Estimating numbers of infectious units from serial dilution assays. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 55(1), 15-30.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2005.00517.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19468
Sivam, S., Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., Gubbins, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Descriptive analysis of the results of an anonymous postal survey of the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain in 2002. Veterinary Record, 158(15), 501-506.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.15.501, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19477
Luckraz, H., Gravenor, M., George, R., Taylor, S., Williams, A., Ashraf, S., Argano, V., Youhana, A., & Gravenor, M. (2005). Long and short-term outcomes in patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy post cardiopulmonary bypass. European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, 27(5), 906-909.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejcts.2005.01.057, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19470
Gravenor, M. & Saunders, N. (2004). Estimating Mutation Rates. Biometrics, 60(4), 1053-1054.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2004.261_1.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19471
Hillerton, J., Berry, E., Gravenor, M., Middleton, N., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Errors associated with milk cell counting. Veterinary Record, 155(15), 445-448.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.155.15.445, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19472
Baylis, M., Chihota, C., Stevenson, E., Goldman, W., Smith, A., Sivam, K., Tongue, S., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Risk of scrapie in British sheep of different prion protein genotype. Journal of General Virology, 85(9), 2735-2740.
https://doi.org/10.1099/vir.0.79876-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19473
GRAVENOR, M., PAPASOZOMENOS, P., McLEAN, A., NEOPHYTOU, G., & Gravenor, M. (2004). A scrapie epidemic in Cyprus. Epidemiology and Infection, 132(4), 751-760.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268804002110, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19474
Chihota, C., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Investigation of trace elements in soil as risk factors in the epidemiology of scrapie. Veterinary Record, 154(26), 809-813.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.154.26.809, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19475
Kingham, J., Kochar, N., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Incidence, clinical patterns, and outcomes of primary sclerosing cholangitis in South Wales, United Kingdom. Gastroenterology, 126(7), 1929-1930.
https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2004.04.052, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19476
Gravenor, M., Stallard, N., Curnow, R., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Repeated challenge with prion disease: The risk of infection and impact on incubation period. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(19), 10960-10965.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1833677100, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19433
Kao, R., Houston, F., Baylis, M., Chihota, C., Goldmann, W., Gravenor, M., Hunter, N., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Epidemiological implications of the susceptibility to BSE of putatively resistant sheep. Journal of General Virology, 84(12), 3503-3512.
https://doi.org/10.1099/vir.0.19184-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19478
Gravenor, M. & Kao, R. (2003). Risk Assessmnents on BSE. Veterinary Record, 152(26), 816-816.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19479
Houston, F. & Gravenor, M. (2003). Clinical signs in sheep experimentally infected with scrapie and BSE. Veterinary Record, 152(11), 333-334.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19480
Gravenor, M., Ryder, S., Gubbins, S., Hunter, N., Baylis, M., & Kao, R. (2003). Searching for BSE in sheep: Interpreting the results so far. Veterinary Record, 152(10), 298-299.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19481
Saunders, N., Moxon, E., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Mutation rates: estimating phase variation rates when fitness differences are present and their impact on population structure. Microbiology, 149(2), 485-495.
https://doi.org/10.1099/mic.0.25807-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19482
Sivam, K., Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., Gubbins, S., & Wilesmith, J. (2003). Results of a postal survey in 2002 into the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain. Veterinary Record, 153(25), 782-783.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.153.25.782, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19467
Baylis, M., Houston, F., Kao, R., McLean, A., Hunter, N., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2002). BSE – a wolf in sheep's clothing?. Trends in Microbiology, 10(12), 563-570.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-842X(02)02477-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19483
Bate, C., Rutherford, S., Gravenor, M., Reid, S., Williams, A., & Gravenor, M. (2002). Cyclo-oxygenase inhibitors protect against prion-induced neurotoxicity in vitro. NeuroReport, 13(15), 1933-1938.
https://doi.org/10.1097/00001756-200210280-00021, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19484
GRAVENOR, M., LLOYD, A., KREMSNER, P., MISSINOU, M., ENGLISH, M., MARSH, K., KWIATKOWSKI, D., & Gravenor, M. (2002). A Model for Estimating Total Parasite Load in Falciparum Malaria Patients. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 217(2), 137-148.
https://doi.org/10.1006/jtbi.2002.3030, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19485
Flanagan, K., Lee, E., Gravenor, M., Reece, W., Urban, B., Doherty, T., Bojang, K., Pinder, M., Hill, A., Plebanski, M., & Gravenor, M. (2002). Induction of T Helper Type 1 and 2 Responses to 19-Kilodalton Merozoite Surface Protein 1 in Vaccinated Healthy Volunteers and Adults Naturally Exposed to Malaria. Infection and Immunity, 70(3), 1417-1421.
https://doi.org/10.1128/IAI.70.3.1417-1421.2002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19486
Kao, R., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., Bostock, C., Chihota, C., Evans, J., Goldmann, W., Smith, A., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2002). The Potential Size and Duration of an Epidemic of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in British Sheep. Science, 295(5553), 332-335.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1067475, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19487
Kao, R., Gravenor, M., & McLean, A. (2001). Modelling the national scrapie eradication programme in the UK. Mathematical Biosciences, 174(2), 61-76.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-5564(01)00082-7, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19488
Flanagan, K., Lee, E., Gravenor, M., Reece, W., Urban, B., Doherty, T., Bojang, K., Pinder, M., Hill, A., Plebanski, M., & Gravenor, M. (2001). Unique T Cell Effector Functions Elicited by Plasmodium falciparum Epitopes in Malaria-Exposed Africans Tested by Three T Cell Assays. The Journal of Immunology, 167(8), 4729-4737.
https://doi.org/10.4049/jimmunol.167.8.4729, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19489
Johnston, W., Shirley, M., Smith, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2001). Modelling host cell availability and the crowding effect in Eimeria infections. International Journal for Parasitology, 31(10), 1070-1081.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0020-7519(01)00234-X, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19490
Gravenor, M., Cox, D., Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., McLean, R., & Gravenor, M. (2001). The flock-to-flock force of infection for scrapie in Britain. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 268(1467), 587-592.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2000.1462, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19491
Gravenor, M., Cox, D., Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., & McLean, A. (2000). Scrapie in Britain during the BSE years. Nature, 406(6796), 584-585.
https://doi.org/10.1038/35020692, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19545
Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., Gravenor, M., & McLean, A. (2000). Descriptive epidemiology of scrapie in Great Britain: results of a postal survey. Veterinary Record, 146(16), 455-461.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19546
McLean, A., Hoek, A., Hoinville, L., & Gravenor, M. (1999). Scrapie transmission in Britain: a recipe for a mathematical model. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 266(1437), 2531-2538.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19547
Hoinville, L., McLean, A., Hoek, A., Gravenor, M., & Wilesmith, J. (1999). Scrapie occurrence in Great Britain. Veterinary Record, 145(14), 405-406.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19548
Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., & Kao, R. (1999). Sprucing up one's impact factor. Nature, 401(6751), 321-322.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19549
Gravenor, M., Hill, A., Gilbert, S., Plebanski, M., Flanagan, K., Lee, E., & Hannan, C. (1999). Altered peptide ligands narrow the repertoire of cellular immune responses by interfering with T-cell priming. Nature Medicine, 5, 565-571.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19550

All Research

Journal Articles

Torabi, F., Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Halcox, J., & Harris, D. (2023). External Validation of HASBLED and ORBIT bleeding risk scores in Wales-AF population. European Heart Journal, 44(Supplement_2)
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehad655.2450, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa65171
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehad655.2450
Ellins, L., Wareham, K., Harris, D., Hanney, M., Akbari, A., Gilmore, M., Barry, J., Phillips, C., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2023). Incident atrial fibrillation and adverse clinical outcomes during extended follow-up of participants recruited to the remote heart rhythm sampling using the AliveCor heart monitor to screen for atrial fibrillation: the REHEARSE-AF study. European Heart Journal Open, 3(3)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oead047, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa63344
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oead047
Harris, D., Torabi, F., Mallory, D., Akbari, A., Thayer, D., Wang, T., Grundy, S., Gravenor, M., Alikhan, R., Lister, S., & Halcox, J. (2023). SAIL Study of Stroke, Systemic Embolism and Bleeding, Outcomes with Warfarin Anticoagulation in Non Valvular Atrial Fibrillation (S4-BOW-AF). European Heart Journal Open, 0
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oead037, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa63179
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oead037
Perry, M., Cottrell, S., Gravenor, M., & Griffiths, L. (2023). Determinants of Equity in Coverage of Measles-Containing Vaccines in Wales, UK, during the Elimination Era. Vaccines, 11(3), 680
https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines11030680, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa63035
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/vaccines11030680
Emmerson, C., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Fry, R., Akbari, A., Humphreys, C., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2022). The impact of dementia, frailty and care home characteristics on SARS-CoV-2 incidence in a national cohort of Welsh care home residents during a period of high community prevalence. Age and Ageing, 51(12)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afac250, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa62132
Torabi, F., Harris, D., Bodger, O., Akbari, A., Lyons, R., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2022). Identifying unmet antithrombotic therapeutic need, and implications for stroke and systemic embolism in atrial fibrillation patients: a population-scale longitudinal study. European Heart Journal Open, 2(6)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjopen/oeac066, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa62057
Torabi, F., Bedston, S., Lowthian, E., Akbari, A., Owen, R., Bradley, D., Agrawal, U., Collins, P., Fry, R., Griffiths, L., Beggs, J., Davies, G., Hollinghurst, J., Lyons, J., Abbasizanjani, H., Cottrell, S., Perry, M., Roberts, R., Azcoaga-Lorenzo, A...., & Lyons, R. (2022). Risk of thrombocytopenic, haemorrhagic and thromboembolic disorders following COVID-19 vaccination and positive test: a self-controlled case series analysis in Wales. Scientific Reports, 12(1)
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20118-6, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa61394
Fry, R., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Emmerson, C., Long, S., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2022). Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on Care Homes in Wales.. International Journal of Population Data Science, 7(3)
https://doi.org/10.23889/ijpds.v7i3.1985, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa61239
Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Szakmany, T., Pugh, R., Davies, G., Sivakumaran, S., Jarvis, R., Rolles, M., Pickrell, O., Akbari, A., Davies, G., Griffiths, R., Lyons, J., Torabi, F., Fry, R., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2022). SARS-CoV-2 infection risk among 77,587 healthcare workers: a national observational longitudinal cohort study in Wales, United Kingdom, April to November 2020. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 115(12), 014107682211071
https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768221107119, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa60146
Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Emmerson, C., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Williams, C., Lyons, R., Hawkes, A., Bennett, E., Gravenor, M., & Fry, R. (2022). Intensity of COVID-19 in care homes following hospital discharge in the early stages of the UK epidemic. Age and Ageing, 51(5)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afac072, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59693
Torabi, F., Akbari, A., Bedston, S., Davies, G., Abbasizanjani, H., Gravenor, M., Griffiths, R., Harris, D., Jenkins, N., Lyons, J., Morris, A., North, L., Halcox, J., & Lyons, R. (2022). Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on community medication dispensing: a national cohort analysis in Wales, UK. International Journal of Population Data Science, 5(4)
https://doi.org/10.23889/ijpds.v5i4.1715, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59976
Perry, M., Gravenor, M., Cottrell, S., Bedston, S., Roberts, R., Williams, C., Salmon, J., Lyons, J., Akbari, A., Lyons, R., Torabi, F., & Griffiths, L. (2022). COVID-19 vaccine uptake and effectiveness in adults aged 50 years and older in Wales UK: a 1.2m population data-linkage cohort approach. Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, 18, 2022(1), 1-10.
https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2022.2031774, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59498
Marchant, E., Griffiths, L., Crick, T., Fry, R., Hollinghurst, J., James, M., Cowley, L., Abbasizanjani, H., Torabi, F., Thompson, D., Kennedy, J., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Lyons, R., & Brophy, S. (2022). COVID-19 mitigation measures in primary schools and association with infection and school staff wellbeing: An observational survey linked with routine data in Wales, UK. PLOS ONE, 17(2), e0264023
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264023, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59502
Ellins, L., Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Smith, D., Jenkins, G., Obaid, D., Chase, A., John, A., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2022). Achievement of European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society lipid targets in very high-risk patients: Influence of depression and sex. PLOS ONE, 17(2), e0264529
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264529, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59420
Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Perry, M., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Lyons, R., & Fry, R. (2022). COVID-19 infection risk amongst 14,104 vaccinated care home residents: a national observational longitudinal cohort study in Wales, UK, December 2020–March 2021. Age and Ageing, 51(1)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afab223, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa58868
Perry, M., Akbari, A., Cottrell, S., Gravenor, M., Roberts, R., Lyons, R., Bedston, S., Torabi, F., & Griffiths, L. (2021). Inequalities in coverage of COVID-19 vaccination: A population register based cross-sectional study in Wales, UK. Vaccine, 39(42), 6256-6261.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.09.019, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa57823
Thompson, D., Abbasizanjani, H., Fry, R., Marchant, E., Griffiths, L., Akbari, A., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Lyons, J., Torabi, F., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2021). Staff–pupil SARS-CoV-2 infection pathways in schools in Wales: a population-level linked data approach. BMJ Paediatrics Open, 5(1), e001049
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjpo-2021-001049, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56848
Emmerson, C., Adamson, J., Turner, D., Gravenor, M., Salmon, J., Cottrell, S., Middleton, V., Thomas, B., Mason, B., & Williams, C. (2021). Risk factors for outbreaks of COVID‐19 in care homes following hospital discharge: A national cohort analysis. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 15(3), 371-380.
https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12831, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa57776
Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Perry, M., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Lyons, R., & Fry, R. (2021). COVID-19 Infection Risk amongst 14,104 Vaccinated Care Home Residents: A national observational longitudinal cohort study in Wales, United Kingdom, December 2020 to March 2021. medRxiv
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.19.21253940, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56588
Torabi, F., Akbari, A., North, L., Harris, D., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., Griffiths, R., Lyons, J., Jenkins, N., Morris, A., Halcox, J., & Lyons, R. (2021). Evaluating the effect of COVID-19 on dispensing patterns: a national cohort analysis. Research Square Preprint
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-233848/v1, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56571
Thompson, D., Abbasizanjani, H., Fry, R., Marchant, E., Griffiths, L., Akbari, A., Hollinghurst, J., North, L., Lyons, J., Torabi, F., Davies, G., Gravenor, M., & Lyons, R. (2021). Staff-Pupil SARS-CoV-2 Infection Pathways in Schools: A Population Level Linked Data Approach. medRxiv
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.04.21251087, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa56212
Harris, D., Thayer, D., Wang, T., Brooks, C., Murley, G., Gravenor, M., Hill, N., Lister, S., & Halcox, J. (2021). An observational study of international normalized ratio control according to NICE criteria in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the SAIL Warfarin Out of Range Descriptors Study (SWORDS). European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy, 7(1), 40-49.
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjcvp/pvz071, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa52906
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ehjcvp/pvz071
Hollinghurst, J., Lyons, J., Fry, R., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., Watkins, A., Verity, F., & Lyons, R. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 on adjusted mortality risk in care homes for older adults in Wales, UK: a retrospective population-based cohort study for mortality in 2016–2020. Age and Ageing, 50(1), 25-31.
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afaa207, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55264
Wells, K., Lurgi Rivera, M., Collins, B., Lucini, B., Kao, R., Lloyd, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2020). Disease control across urban–rural gradients. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 17(173), 20200775
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0775, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55650
Torabi, F., Harris, D., Akbari, A., Bodger, O., Lyons, R., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2020). Longitudinal study of adherence to anticoagulation guidelines in patients with atrial fibrillation. European Heart Journal, 41(Supplement_2)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.3524, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55791
Lyons, J., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Davies, G., North, L., Griffiths, R., Bailey, R., Hollinghurst, J., Fry, R., Turner, S., Thompson, D., Rafferty, J., Mizen, A., Orton, C., Ellwood-Thompson, S., Au-Yeung, L., Cross, L., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S...., & Lyons, R. (2020). Understanding and responding to COVID-19 in Wales: protocol for a privacy-protecting data platform for enhanced epidemiology and evaluation of interventions. BMJ Open, 10(10), e043010
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043010, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa55501
Newton, P. & Gravenor, M. (2020). A higher percentage of Higher Education Academy (HEA) qualifications among universities’ staff does not appear to be positively associated with higher ratings of student satisfaction. A Letter of Concern in response to Nurunnabi et al MethodsX 6 (2019) 788–799. MethodsX, 100911
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2020.100911, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54210
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Torabi, F., Smith, D., Jenkins, G., Obaid, D., Chase, A., Gravenor, M., Halcox, J., & Torabi, F. (2020). Achievement of European guideline-recommended lipid levels post-percutaneous coronary intervention: A population-level observational cohort study. European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 204748732091411
https://doi.org/10.1177/2047487320914115, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa53918
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Obaid, D., Smith, D., Jenkins, G., Barry, J., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2019). Early Discontinuation of P2Y12 Antagonists and Adverse Clinical Events Post–Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Hospital and Primary Care Linked Cohort. Journal of the American Heart Association, 8(21), A74
https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.012812, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa40257
Davies, G., Jordan, S., Brooks, C., Thayer, D., Storey, M., Morgan, G., Allen, S., Garaiova, I., Plummer, S., & Gravenor, M. (2018). Long term extension of a randomised controlled trial of probiotics using electronic health records. Scientific Reports, 8(1)
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-25954-z, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa40240
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2018). EARLY DISCONTINUATION OF P2Y12 ANTAGONISTS AND ADVERSE CLINICAL OUTCOMES POST PERCUTANEOUS CORONARY INTERVENTION. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 71(11), A74
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0735-1097(18)30615-6, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54252
Halcox, J., Wareham, K., Cardew, A., Gilmore, M., Barry, J., Phillips, C., & Gravenor, M. (2017). Assessment of Remote Heart Rhythm Sampling Using the AliveCor Heart Monitor to Screen for Atrial Fibrillation. Circulation, 136(19), 1784-1794.
https://doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.030583, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa35067
http://dx.doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.030583
Wilson, R., Holton, M., Walker, J., Shepard, E., Scantlebury, D., Wilson, V., Wilson, G., Tysse, B., Gravenor, M., Ciancio, J., McNarry, M., Mackintosh, K., Qasem, L., Rosell, F., Graf, P., Quintana, F., Gomez-Laich, A., Sala, J., Mulvenna, C...., & Gravenor, M. (2016). A spherical-plot solution to linking acceleration metrics with animal performance, state, behaviour and lifestyle. Movement Ecology, 4(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-016-0088-3, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa30318
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2016). Random migration processes between two stochastic epidemic centers. Mathematical Biosciences, 274, 45-57.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2016.01.011, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa26751
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025556416000225
Zhou, S., Hill, R., Morgan, K., Stratton, G., Gravenor, M., Bijlsma, G., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Zhou, S., & Stratton, G. (2015). Classification of accelerometer wear and non-wear events in seconds for monitoring free-living physical activity. BMJ Open, 5(5), e007447-e007447.
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007447, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24621
Gravenor, M. (2015). The role of point-of-care assessment of platelet function in predicting postoperative bleeding and transfusion requirements after coronary artery bypass grafting. Annals of Cardiac Anaesthesia, 18(1), 45-51.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24552
http://annals.in/article.asp?issn=0971-9784;year=2015;volume=18;issue=1;spage=45;epage=51;aulast=Mishra
Allen, S., Gravenor, M., Wareham, K., & Wang, D. (2014). Probiotics and antibiotic-associated diarrhoea – Authors' reply. The Lancet, 383(9911), 30
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62735-X, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19424
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2014). A new view on migration processes between SIR centra: an account of the different dynamics of host and guest. arxiv, 1401.6830
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19593
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Bodger, O., John, A., Brunt, H., Jones, K., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., & Gravenor, M. (2014). Local Modelling Techniques for Assessing Micro-Level Impacts of Risk Factors in Complex Data: Understanding Health and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Childhood Educational Attainments. PLoS ONE, 9(11), e113592
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0113592, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24546
Allen, S., Jordan, S., Storey, M., Thornton, C., Gravenor, M., Garaiova, I., Plummer, S., Wang, D., & Morgan, G. (2014). Probiotics in the prevention of eczema: a randomised controlled trial. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 99(11), 1014-1019.
https://doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2013-305799, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa18103
Charlton, R., Gravenor, M., Rees, A., Knox, G., Hill, R., Rahman, M., Jones, K., Christian, D., Baker, J., Stratton, G., & Brophy, S. (2014). Factors associated with low fitness in adolescents – A mixed methods study. BMC Public Health, 14(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-14-764, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa24593
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-14-764
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Wang, D., Bradley, C., Sewell, B., Hutchings, H., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Gravenor, M., Mack, D., Phillips, C., Hutchings, H., Gravenor, M., & Sewell, B. (2013). A high-dose preparation of lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel arm trial (PLACIDE). Health Technology Assessment, 17(57)
https://doi.org/10.3310/hta17570, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa16163
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Wang, D., Bradley, C., Hutchings, H., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Gravenor, M., & Mack, D. (2013). Lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older inpatients (PLACIDE): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial. The Lancet, 382(9900), 1249-1257.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61218-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa15897
Hinder, S., Hays, G., Edwards, M., Roberts, E., Walne, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Changes in marine dinoflagellate and diatom abundance under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 2(4), 271-275.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1388, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa13153
Friedmann, Y., Gravenor, M., Bodger, O., Temple, M., Gravenor, M., & Friedmann, Y. (2012). Impact of hand washing on bacteraemia rates. BMJ, 344(jun25 2), e4299-e4299.
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.e4299, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa16946
Hinder, S., Manning, J., Gravenor, M., Edwards, M., Walne, A., Burkill, P., Hays, G., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Long-term changes in abundance and distribution of microzooplankton in the NE Atlantic and North Sea. Journal of Plankton Research, 34(1), 83-91.
https://doi.org/10.1093/plankt/fbr087, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19440
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2012). Constructing compact Takagi-Sugeno rule systems: Identification of complex interactions in epidemiological data. PLoS ONE, 7(12), e51468
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0051468, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa13931
Allen, S., Wareham, K., Bradley, C., Harris, W., Dhar, A., Brown, H., Foden, A., Cheung, W., Gravenor, M., Plummer, S., Phillips, C., & Mack, D. (2012). A multicentre randomised controlled trial evaluating lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: the PLACIDE study protocol. BMC Infectious Diseases, 12(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-12-108, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19438
Hays, G., Bastian, T., Doyle, T., Fossette, S., Gleiss, A., Gravenor, M., Hobson, V., Humphries, N., Lilley, M., Pade, N., Sims, D., Gravenor, M., & Hobson, V. (2011). High activity and Levy searches: jellyfish can search the water column like fish. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2011.0978, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa6132
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., Gravenor, M., Kelbert, M., Sazonov, I., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Travelling waves in a network of SIR epidemic nodes with an approximation of weak coupling. Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 28(2), 165-183.
https://doi.org/10.1093/imammb/dqq016, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7261
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2011). A two-stage model for the SIR outbreak: Accounting for the discrete and stochastic nature of the epidemic at the initial contamination stage. Mathematical Biosciences, 234(2), 108-117.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2011.09.002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7975
Kelbert, M., Sazonov, I., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Critical reaction time during a disease outbreak. Ecological Complexity, 8(4), 326-335.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2011.07.002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa14653
Adkin, A., Andreoletti, O., Comer, P., Ducrot, C., Gravenor, M., Greiner, M., Hope, J., Muller-Graf, C., & Vanopdenbosch, E. (2011). Scientific Opinion on the revision of the quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of the BSE risk posed by processed animal proteins (PAPs). EFSA Journal, 9(1)
https://doi.org/10.2903/j.efsa.2011.1947, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19590
Bodger, O., Byrne, A., Evans, A., Gravenor, M., Jones, C., Rees, S., Williams, R., Gravenor, M., Rees, S., & Evans, A. (2011). Graduate Entry Medicine: selection criteria and student performance. PLoS ONE, 6(11), e27161
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027161, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10448
Davies, A., Hinder, S., Hays, G., Brooks, C., Davies, A., Edwards, M., Walne, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Toxic marine microalgae and shellfish poisoning in the British isles: history, review of epidemiology, and future implications. Environmental Health, 10(1), 54
https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-10-54, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10455
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Lyons, R., Thomas, N., Rodgers, S., & Gravenor, M. (2011). Parental factors associated with walking to school and participation in organised activities at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health, 11(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-14, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19446
Hays, G., FOSSETTE, S., KATSELIDIS, K., SCHOFIELD, G., GRAVENOR, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Breeding Periodicity for Male Sea Turtles, Operational Sex Ratios, and Implications in the Face of Climate Change. Conservation Biology, 24(6), 1636-1643.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01531.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa922
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Gravenor, M., Weston, C., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., & Lyons, R. (2010). Population based absolute and relative survival to 1 year of people with diabetes following a myocardial infarction: A cohort study using hospital admissions data. BMC Public Health 2010, 10, 338
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-338, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10197
Atkinson, M., Brophy, S., Siebert, S., Gravenor, M., Phillips, C., Ford, D., Jones, K., & Lyons, R. (2010). Protocol for a population-based Ankylosing Spondylitis (PAS) cohort in Wales. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders, 11(1)
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2474-11-197, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa14774
Li, W., Delport, W., Scheffler, K., Botha, G., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Kosakovsky Pond, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). CodonTest: Modeling Amino Acid Substitution Preferences in Coding Sequences. PLoS Computational Biology, 6(8), e1000885
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000885, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19434
Zhou, S., Lyons, R., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Construction of parsimonious Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy rule based model in characterising impacts of child health, socioeconomic deprivations on educational outcomes. IEEE Fuzzy Systems, 1-8.
https://doi.org/10.1109/FUZZY.2010.5583937, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19448
Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Siebert, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Major flares as a diagnostic and prognostic measure when assessing ankylosing spondylitis severity. International Journal of Clinical Rheumatology, 5(4), 399-401.
https://doi.org/10.2217/ijr.10.34, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19450
Bunting, H., Still, R., Williams, D., Gravenor, M., Austin, M., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Evaluation of Plasma Glutamate Levels in Normal Tension Glaucoma. Ophthalmic Research, 43(4), 197-200.
https://doi.org/10.1159/000272024, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19454
Poon, A., Delport, W., Scheffler, K., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Kosakovsky Pond, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Benchmarking Multi-Rate Codon Models. PLoS ONE, 5(7), e11587
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0011587, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19429
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Scheffler, K., Gravenor, M., Poon, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2010). Evolutionary Fingerprinting of Genes. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 27(3), 520-536.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msp260, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10778
http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/27/3/520.abstract
Cooksey, R., Brophy, S., Gravenor, M., Brooks, C., Burrows, C., Siebert, S., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Brooks, C., & Cooksey, R. (2010). Frequency and characteristics of disease flares in ankylosing spondylitis. Rheumatology, 49(5), 929-932.
https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/kep435, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa23149
http://europepmc.org/abstract/med/20123954
Allen, S., Jordan, S., Gravenor, M., & Storey, M. (2010). Dietary supplementation with lactobacilli and bifidobacteria was well tolerated and not associated with adverse events during late pregnancy and early infancy.. Journal of Nutrition, 140, 483-8.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa9793
Brophy, S., Cooksey, R., Gravenor, M., Mistry, R., Thomas, N., Lyons, R., & Williams, R. (2009). Risk factors for childhood obesity at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health, 9(1), 467
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-467, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa10460
Fraser, C., Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Stawiski, E., Chappey, C., Poon, A., Hughes, G., Fearnhill, E., Gravenor, M., Leigh Brown, A., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2009). An Evolutionary Model-Based Algorithm for Accurate Phylogenetic Breakpoint Mapping and Subtype Prediction in HIV-1. PLoS Computational Biology, 5(11), e1000581
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000581, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19435
Sazonov, I., Kelbert, M., & Gravenor, M. (2008). The Speed of Epidemic Waves in a One-Dimensional Lattice of SIR Models. Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, 3(4), 28-47.
https://doi.org/10.1051/mmnp:2008069, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa7262
Brophy, S., Burrows, C., Brooks, C., Gravenor, M., Brophy, S., Brooks, C., & Siebert, S. (2008). Internet-based randomised controlled trials for the evaluation of complementary and alternative medicines: probiotics in spondyloarthropathy. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders, 9, 4
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa9971
Moller, M., Gravenor, M., Roberts, S., Sun, D., Gao, P., Hopkin, J., Hopkin, J., Gravenor, M., Roberts, S., & Moller, M. (2007). Genetic haplotypes of Th-2 immune signalling link allergy to enhanced protection to parasitic worms. Human Molecular Genetics, 16(15), 1828-1836.
https://doi.org/10.1093/hmg/ddm131, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa1397
Howard, C., Martin, M., Hope, J., Charleston, B., Gravenor, M., Kao, R., & Gravenor, M. (2007). Mycobacterium bovis shedding patterns from experimentally infected calves and the effect of concurrent infection with bovine viral diarrhoea virus. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 4(14), 545-551.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2006.0190, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19459
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Mannino, F., Gravenor, M., Muse, S., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Evolutionary Model Selection with a Genetic Algorithm: A Case Study Using Stem RNA. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 24(1), 159-170.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msl144, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19460
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Gravenor, M., Woelk, C., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). GARD: a genetic algorithm for recombination detection. Bioinformatics, 22(24), 3096-3098.
https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btl474, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19461
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Posada, D., Woelk, C., Gravenor, M., Frost, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Automated Phylogenetic Detection of Recombination Using a Genetic Algorithm. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 23(10), 1891-1901.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msl051, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19462
Pegge, N., Twomey, A., Vaughton, K., Gravenor, M., Ramsey, M., Price, D., & Gravenor, M. (2006). The role of endothelial dysfunction in the pathophysiology of erectile dysfunction in diabetes and in determining response to treatment. Diabetic Medicine, 23(8), 873-878.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-5491.2006.01911.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19463
Kosakovsky Pond, S., Frost, S., Grossman, Z., Gravenor, M., Richman, D., & Brown, A. (2006). Adaptation to Different Human Populations by HIV-1 Revealed by Codon-Based Analyses. PLoS Computational Biology, 2(6), e62
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.0020062, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19464
Nicholls, N., Kruuk, L., Woolhouse, M., Stevenson, E., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Investigation of farmer regard for scrapiesusceptible sheep. Veterinary Record, 158(21), 732-734.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.21.732, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19465
Baylis, M., Chihota, C., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Correction. Veterinary Record, 158(25), 870-870.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.25.870, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19466
Haydon, D., Randall, D., Matthews, L., Knobel, D., Tallents, L., Gravenor, M., Williams, S., Pollinger, J., Cleaveland, S., Woolhouse, M., Sillero-Zubiri, C., Marino, J., Macdonald, D., Laurenson, M., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Low-coverage vaccination strategies for the conservation of endangered species. Nature, 443(7112), 692-695.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05177, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19430
Stallard, N., Gravenor, M., Curnow, R., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Estimating numbers of infectious units from serial dilution assays. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 55(1), 15-30.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2005.00517.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19468
Sivam, S., Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., Gubbins, S., & Gravenor, M. (2006). Descriptive analysis of the results of an anonymous postal survey of the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain in 2002. Veterinary Record, 158(15), 501-506.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.158.15.501, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19477
Luckraz, H., Gravenor, M., George, R., Taylor, S., Williams, A., Ashraf, S., Argano, V., Youhana, A., & Gravenor, M. (2005). Long and short-term outcomes in patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy post cardiopulmonary bypass. European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, 27(5), 906-909.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejcts.2005.01.057, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19470
Jones, S., Williams, R., & Gravenor, M. (2005). Monitoring trends in obesity in South Wales using routine data. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 90(5), 464-467.
https://doi.org/10.1136/adc.2003.048520, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa1226
Gravenor, M. & Saunders, N. (2004). Estimating Mutation Rates. Biometrics, 60(4), 1053-1054.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2004.261_1.x, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19471
Hillerton, J., Berry, E., Gravenor, M., Middleton, N., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Errors associated with milk cell counting. Veterinary Record, 155(15), 445-448.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.155.15.445, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19472
Baylis, M., Chihota, C., Stevenson, E., Goldman, W., Smith, A., Sivam, K., Tongue, S., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Risk of scrapie in British sheep of different prion protein genotype. Journal of General Virology, 85(9), 2735-2740.
https://doi.org/10.1099/vir.0.79876-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19473
GRAVENOR, M., PAPASOZOMENOS, P., McLEAN, A., NEOPHYTOU, G., & Gravenor, M. (2004). A scrapie epidemic in Cyprus. Epidemiology and Infection, 132(4), 751-760.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268804002110, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19474
Chihota, C., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Investigation of trace elements in soil as risk factors in the epidemiology of scrapie. Veterinary Record, 154(26), 809-813.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.154.26.809, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19475
Kingham, J., Kochar, N., & Gravenor, M. (2004). Incidence, clinical patterns, and outcomes of primary sclerosing cholangitis in South Wales, United Kingdom. Gastroenterology, 126(7), 1929-1930.
https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2004.04.052, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19476
Gravenor, M., Stallard, N., Curnow, R., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Repeated challenge with prion disease: The risk of infection and impact on incubation period. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(19), 10960-10965.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1833677100, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19433
Kao, R., Houston, F., Baylis, M., Chihota, C., Goldmann, W., Gravenor, M., Hunter, N., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Epidemiological implications of the susceptibility to BSE of putatively resistant sheep. Journal of General Virology, 84(12), 3503-3512.
https://doi.org/10.1099/vir.0.19184-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19478
Gravenor, M. & Kao, R. (2003). Risk Assessmnents on BSE. Veterinary Record, 152(26), 816-816.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19479
Houston, F. & Gravenor, M. (2003). Clinical signs in sheep experimentally infected with scrapie and BSE. Veterinary Record, 152(11), 333-334.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19480
Gravenor, M., Ryder, S., Gubbins, S., Hunter, N., Baylis, M., & Kao, R. (2003). Searching for BSE in sheep: Interpreting the results so far. Veterinary Record, 152(10), 298-299.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19481
Saunders, N., Moxon, E., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2003). Mutation rates: estimating phase variation rates when fitness differences are present and their impact on population structure. Microbiology, 149(2), 485-495.
https://doi.org/10.1099/mic.0.25807-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19482
Sivam, K., Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., Gubbins, S., & Wilesmith, J. (2003). Results of a postal survey in 2002 into the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain. Veterinary Record, 153(25), 782-783.
https://doi.org/10.1136/vr.153.25.782, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19467
Baylis, M., Houston, F., Kao, R., McLean, A., Hunter, N., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2002). BSE – a wolf in sheep's clothing?. Trends in Microbiology, 10(12), 563-570.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-842X(02)02477-0, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19483
Bate, C., Rutherford, S., Gravenor, M., Reid, S., Williams, A., & Gravenor, M. (2002). Cyclo-oxygenase inhibitors protect against prion-induced neurotoxicity in vitro. NeuroReport, 13(15), 1933-1938.
https://doi.org/10.1097/00001756-200210280-00021, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19484
GRAVENOR, M., LLOYD, A., KREMSNER, P., MISSINOU, M., ENGLISH, M., MARSH, K., KWIATKOWSKI, D., & Gravenor, M. (2002). A Model for Estimating Total Parasite Load in Falciparum Malaria Patients. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 217(2), 137-148.
https://doi.org/10.1006/jtbi.2002.3030, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19485
Flanagan, K., Lee, E., Gravenor, M., Reece, W., Urban, B., Doherty, T., Bojang, K., Pinder, M., Hill, A., Plebanski, M., & Gravenor, M. (2002). Induction of T Helper Type 1 and 2 Responses to 19-Kilodalton Merozoite Surface Protein 1 in Vaccinated Healthy Volunteers and Adults Naturally Exposed to Malaria. Infection and Immunity, 70(3), 1417-1421.
https://doi.org/10.1128/IAI.70.3.1417-1421.2002, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19486
Kao, R., Gravenor, M., Baylis, M., Bostock, C., Chihota, C., Evans, J., Goldmann, W., Smith, A., McLean, A., & Gravenor, M. (2002). The Potential Size and Duration of an Epidemic of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in British Sheep. Science, 295(5553), 332-335.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1067475, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19487
Kao, R., Gravenor, M., & McLean, A. (2001). Modelling the national scrapie eradication programme in the UK. Mathematical Biosciences, 174(2), 61-76.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-5564(01)00082-7, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19488
Flanagan, K., Lee, E., Gravenor, M., Reece, W., Urban, B., Doherty, T., Bojang, K., Pinder, M., Hill, A., Plebanski, M., & Gravenor, M. (2001). Unique T Cell Effector Functions Elicited by Plasmodium falciparum Epitopes in Malaria-Exposed Africans Tested by Three T Cell Assays. The Journal of Immunology, 167(8), 4729-4737.
https://doi.org/10.4049/jimmunol.167.8.4729, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19489
Johnston, W., Shirley, M., Smith, A., Gravenor, M., & Gravenor, M. (2001). Modelling host cell availability and the crowding effect in Eimeria infections. International Journal for Parasitology, 31(10), 1070-1081.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0020-7519(01)00234-X, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19490
Gravenor, M., Cox, D., Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., McLean, R., & Gravenor, M. (2001). The flock-to-flock force of infection for scrapie in Britain. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 268(1467), 587-592.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2000.1462, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19491
Gravenor, M., Cox, D., Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., & McLean, A. (2000). Scrapie in Britain during the BSE years. Nature, 406(6796), 584-585.
https://doi.org/10.1038/35020692, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19545
Hoinville, L., Hoek, A., Gravenor, M., & McLean, A. (2000). Descriptive epidemiology of scrapie in Great Britain: results of a postal survey. Veterinary Record, 146(16), 455-461.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19546
McLean, A., Hoek, A., Hoinville, L., & Gravenor, M. (1999). Scrapie transmission in Britain: a recipe for a mathematical model. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 266(1437), 2531-2538.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19547
Hoinville, L., McLean, A., Hoek, A., Gravenor, M., & Wilesmith, J. (1999). Scrapie occurrence in Great Britain. Veterinary Record, 145(14), 405-406.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19548
Baylis, M., Gravenor, M., & Kao, R. (1999). Sprucing up one's impact factor. Nature, 401(6751), 321-322.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19549
Gravenor, M., Hill, A., Gilbert, S., Plebanski, M., Flanagan, K., Lee, E., & Hannan, C. (1999). Altered peptide ligands narrow the repertoire of cellular immune responses by interfering with T-cell priming. Nature Medicine, 5, 565-571.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19550
Burgner, D., Wu, X., Rockett, K., Gravenor, M., Charles, I., Hill, A., Kwiatkowski, D., & Gravenor, M. (1998). Inducible nitric oxide synthase polymorphism and fatal cerebral malaria. The Lancet, 352(9135), 1193-1194.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19575
Gravenor, M. & Kwiatkowski, D. (1998). An analysis of the temperature effects of fever on the intra-host population dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum. Parasitology, 117(2), 97-105.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19576
Gravenor, M., Boele Van Hensbroek, M., & Kwiatkowski, D. (1998). Estimating sequestered parasite population dynamics in cerebral malaria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 95(13), 7620-7624.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19577
Gravenor, M. & Lloyd, A. (1998). Models for the in-host dynamics of malaria revisited: errors in some basic models lead to large over-estimates of growth rates. Parasitology, 117(5), 409-410.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19591
Gravenor, M., McLean, A., & Kwiatkowski, D. (1995). The regulation of malaria parasitaemia: Parameter estimates for a population model. Parasitology, 110(2), 115-122.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19579
Lloyd, A. & Gravenor, M. (1994). Linear filters and nonlinear forecasting. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 256(1346), 157-161.
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19580

Conference Contributions

Gibson, F., Fabbro, R., Rahat, A., Torsney-Weir, T., Archambault, D., Gravenor, M., & Lucini, B. (2021). An interactive tool for enhancing hospital capacity predictions using an epidemiological model. In Francisco Chicano (Ed.), Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference CompanionACM.
https://doi.org/10.1145/3449726.3462738, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa64016
http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/3449726.3462738
Torabi, F., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Harris, D., Lyons, R., Halcox, J., & Gravenor, M. (2020). Machine learning approaches in for prediction of 1-year risk of major bleeding events in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients with atrial fibrillation in Wales.. In ESC Heart & Stroke 2020
https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.14854.11840, SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa53813
https://escheart-stroke2020.org/programme/
Harris, D., Lacey, A., Akbari, A., Gravenor, M., & Halcox, J. (2018). Discontinuation of Statins and Adverse Clinical Outcomes Post Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. In Circulation
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa54258
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/circ.138.suppl_1.14994

Other Research Outputs

Gravenor, M. (1995). The population biology of Plasmoodium falciparum within the human host
SU Repository: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa19592

Supervision

Assessing effectiveness, equity and impact of vaccination programmes in Wales, utilising data-linkage of NHS and administrative data. (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Lucy Griffiths
Enhancing Robustness in AI for Differential Dementia Diagnosis through 3D Synthetic Structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data. (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Simon Ellwood-Thompson
Advanced Frameworks for Public Health Decision-making: Leveraging Population-scale Data Science for Evidence-based Policy. (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Julian Halcox
Predicting outcomes for children in care: an administrative data analysis of whole populations in the UK. (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Sinead Brophy
Evaluation of the utility and optimisation of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Julian Halcox
Modelling the impact of policy interventions on the interaction of COVID-19 and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Biagio Lucini
Developing Population-Level Methods for Cardiovascular Risk Management in Atrial Fibrillation. (current)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof Julian Halcox
Sterol Biomarker Discovery in Neurodegenerative Diseases (awarded 2023)

PhD

Other supervisor: Prof William Griffiths

Other supervisor: Prof Yuqin Wang

Taught Modules

PM-238 Biostatistics

This module covers a number of principles of biological data analysis using statistical software.
PM-238C Ystadegau Biolegol

Mae¿r modiwl hwn yn cwmpasu nifer o egwyddorion dadansoddi data biolegol drwy ddefnyddio meddalwedd ystadegol.
PM-344 Capstone Project

The aim of this module is to provide a capstone experience to students¿ learning, through participating in their own enquiry-based research project, with guidance from an academic supervisor. The project may be laboratory or non-laboratory based, but it will always involve a research question that is drawn from the literature, and focused on a topic relevant to the life sciences. It will ask a research question and involve the critical analysis of research findings. Students will refine their oral and written communication skills to a graduate level through an oral presentation and dissertation on their research findings and conclusions.
PM-363 Practical Quantitative Research

This module aims to equip students with with the skills they will need to write their final year dissertation. We will give students the opportunity to apply the basic data analysis techniques they learned in level 5 and introduce the skills necessary to produce high quality scientific writing, with a particular emphasis on quantitative research reports and/or journal articles.
PM-364 Advanced Biostatistics

This module builds on the foundations introduced in the PM- 238 module by introducing students to some more advanced statistical methods, specifically those relevant to medical research. This module will involve more statistical theory and mathematics than the second year Biostatistics module.
PMPM02 Research Methods in Medical Physics and Clinical Engineering

Generic teaching on research methodology in medical physics and clinical engineering clinical science specialism.
PMPM05 Research Methods in Medical Physics and Clinical Engineering

The overall aim of this module is to ensure that the trainee in medical physics or clinical engineering has the underpinning knowledge of the importance of research, development and innovation across the NHS and in healthcare science in particular and to provide the underpinning knowledge for the research project.
PMRM08 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences (PT Research Only)

This module explores the concepts, principles and applications of various approaches to data analysis and interpretation for both qualitative (including thematic content analysis) and quantitative methods (including analysis of difference, variance and relationship).
PMZM10 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences

This module explores the concepts, principles and applications of various approaches to data analysis and interpretation for both qualitative (including thematic content analysis) and quantitative methods (including analysis of difference, variance and relationship).

Professor Michael Gravenor

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Research Highlights

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Journal Articles

Conference Contributions

Other Research Outputs

Supervision

Assessing effectiveness, equity and impact of vaccination programmes in Wales, utilising data-linkage of NHS and administrative data. (current)

Enhancing Robustness in AI for Differential Dementia Diagnosis through 3D Synthetic Structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data. (current)

Advanced Frameworks for Public Health Decision-making: Leveraging Population-scale Data Science for Evidence-based Policy. (current)

Predicting outcomes for children in care: an administrative data analysis of whole populations in the UK. (current)

Evaluation of the utility and optimisation of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging (current)

Modelling the impact of policy interventions on the interaction of COVID-19 and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (current)

Developing Population-Level Methods for Cardiovascular Risk Management in Atrial Fibrillation. (current)

Sterol Biomarker Discovery in Neurodegenerative Diseases (awarded 2023)

Taught Modules

PM-238 Biostatistics

PM-238C Ystadegau Biolegol

PM-344 Capstone Project

PM-363 Practical Quantitative Research

PM-364 Advanced Biostatistics

PMPM02 Research Methods in Medical Physics and Clinical Engineering

PMPM05 Research Methods in Medical Physics and Clinical Engineering

PMRM08 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences (PT Research Only)

PMZM10 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences