Publications

Journal Articles

  1. et. al. A spherical-plot solution to linking acceleration metrics with animal performance, state, behaviour and lifestyle. Movement Ecology 4(1)
  2. & Random migration processes between two stochastic epidemic centers. Mathematical Biosciences 274, 45-57.
  3. The role of point-of-care assessment of platelet function in predicting postoperative bleeding and transfusion requirements after coronary artery bypass grafting. Annals of Cardiac Anaesthesia 18(1), 45-51.
  4. & Classification of accelerometer wear and non-wear events in seconds for monitoring free-living physical activity. BMJ Open 5(5), e007447-e007447.
  5. et. al. Factors associated with low fitness in adolescents – A mixed methods study. BMC Public Health 14(1), 764
  6. & Probiotics in the prevention of eczema: a randomised controlled trial. Archives of Disease in Childhood 99(11), 1014-1019.
  7. & Probiotics and antibiotic-associated diarrhoea – Authors' reply. The Lancet 383(9911), 30
  8. & Local Modelling Techniques for Assessing Micro-Level Impacts of Risk Factors in Complex Data: Understanding Health and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Childhood Educational Attainments. PLoS ONE 9(11), e113592
  9. & A new view on migration processes between SIR centra: an account of the different dynamics of host and guest. arxiv 1401.6830
  10. et. al. A high-dose preparation of lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel arm trial (PLACIDE). Health Technology Assessment 17(57)
  11. et. al. Lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea and Clostridium difficile diarrhoea in older inpatients (PLACIDE): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial. The Lancet 382(9900), 1249-1257.
  12. & Impact of hand washing on bacteraemia rates. BMJ 344(jun25 2), e4299-e4299.
  13. & Changes in marine dinoflagellate and diatom abundance under climate change. Nature Climate Change 2(4), 271-275.
  14. & Constructing Compact Takagi-Sugeno Rule Systems: Identification of Complex Interactions in Epidemiological Data. PLoS ONE 7(12), e51468
  15. et. al. A multicentre randomised controlled trial evaluating lactobacilli and bifidobacteria in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea in older people admitted to hospital: the PLACIDE study protocol. BMC Infectious Diseases 12(1), 108
  16. et. al. High activity and Levy searches: jellyfish can search the water column like fish. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 279(1728), 465-473.
  17. et. al. Long-term changes in abundance and distribution of microzooplankton in the NE Atlantic and North Sea. Journal of Plankton Research 34(1), 83-91.
  18. & Critical reaction time during a disease outbreak. Ecological Complexity 8(4), 326-335.
  19. & A two-stage model for the SIR outbreak: Accounting for the discrete and stochastic nature of the epidemic at the initial contamination stage. Mathematical Biosciences 234(2), 108-117.
  20. et. al. Graduate Entry Medicine: Selection Criteria and Student Performance. PLoS ONE 6(11), e27161
  21. & Travelling waves in a network of SIR epidemic nodes with an approximation of weak coupling. Mathematical Medicine and Biology 28(2), 165-183.
  22. et. al. Toxic marine microalgae and shellfish poisoning in the British isles: history, review of epidemiology, and future implications. Environmental Health 10(1), 54
  23. & Parental factors associated with walking to school and participation in organised activities at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health 11(1), 14
  24. et. al. Scientific Opinion on the revision of the quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of the BSE risk posed by processed animal proteins (PAPs). EFSA Journal 9(1)
  25. et. al. CodonTest: Modeling Amino Acid Substitution Preferences in Coding Sequences. PLoS Computational Biology 6(8), e1000885
  26. & Breeding Periodicity for Male Sea Turtles, Operational Sex Ratios, and Implications in the Face of Climate Change. Conservation Biology 24(6), 1636-1643.
  27. & Construction of parsimonious Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy rule based model in characterising impacts of child health, socioeconomic deprivations on educational outcomes. IEEE Fuzzy Systems, 1-8.
  28. et. al. Protocol for a population-based Ankylosing Spondylitis (PAS) cohort in Wales. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders 11(1), 197
  29. & Major flares as a diagnostic and prognostic measure when assessing ankylosing spondylitis severity. International Journal of Clinical Rheumatology 5(4), 399-401.
  30. et. al. Population based absolute and relative survival to 1 year of people with diabetes following a myocardial infarction: A cohort study using hospital admissions data. BMC Public Health 10(1), 338
  31. & Frequency and characteristics of disease flares in ankylosing spondylitis. Rheumatology 49(5), 929-932.
  32. et. al. Dietary Supplementation with Lactobacilli and Bifidobacteria Is Well Tolerated and Not Associated with Adverse Events during Late Pregnancy and Early Infancy. Journal of Nutrition 140(3), 483-488.
  33. & Evaluation of Plasma Glutamate Levels in Normal Tension Glaucoma. Ophthalmic Research 43(4), 197-200.
  34. & Benchmarking Multi-Rate Codon Models. PLoS ONE 5(7), e11587
  35. et. al. Risk factors for childhood obesity at age 5: Analysis of the Millennium Cohort Study. BMC Public Health 9(1), 467
  36. et. al. An Evolutionary Model-Based Algorithm for Accurate Phylogenetic Breakpoint Mapping and Subtype Prediction in HIV-1. PLoS Computational Biology 5(11), e1000581
  37. & Evolutionary Fingerprinting of Genes. Molecular Biology and Evolution 27(3), 520-536.
  38. & Internet-based randomised controlled trials for the evaluation of complementary and alternative medicines: probiotics in spondyloarthropathy. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders 9(1), 4
  39. & The Speed of Epidemic Waves in a One-Dimensional Lattice of SIR Models. Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena 3(4), 28-47.
  40. & Genetic haplotypes of Th-2 immune signalling link allergy to enhanced protection to parasitic worms. Human Molecular Genetics 16(15), 1828-1836.
  41. & Mycobacterium bovis shedding patterns from experimentally infected calves and the effect of concurrent infection with bovine viral diarrhoea virus. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 4(14), 545-551.
  42. & Evolutionary Model Selection with a Genetic Algorithm: A Case Study Using Stem RNA. Molecular Biology and Evolution 24(1), 159-170.
  43. & GARD: a genetic algorithm for recombination detection. Bioinformatics 22(24), 3096-3098.
  44. & Automated Phylogenetic Detection of Recombination Using a Genetic Algorithm. Molecular Biology and Evolution 23(10), 1891-1901.
  45. & The role of endothelial dysfunction in the pathophysiology of erectile dysfunction in diabetes and in determining response to treatment. Diabetic Medicine 23(8), 873-878.
  46. & Adaptation to Different Human Populations by HIV-1 Revealed by Codon-Based Analyses. PLoS Computational Biology 2(6), e62
  47. & Investigation of farmer regard for scrapiesusceptible sheep. Veterinary Record 158(21), 732-734.
  48. & Correction. Veterinary Record 158(25), 870-870.
  49. et. al. Low-coverage vaccination strategies for the conservation of endangered species. Nature 443(7112), 692-695.
  50. & Estimating numbers of infectious units from serial dilution assays. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 55(1), 15-30.
  51. & Descriptive analysis of the results of an anonymous postal survey of the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain in 2002. Veterinary Record 158(15), 501-506.
  52. & Monitoring trends in obesity in South Wales using routine data. Archives of Disease in Childhood 90(5), 464-467.
  53. et. al. Long and short-term outcomes in patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy post cardiopulmonary bypass. European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery 27(5), 906-909.
  54. & Estimating Mutation Rates. Biometrics 60(4), 1053-1054.
  55. & Errors associated with milk cell counting. Veterinary Record 155(15), 445-448.
  56. et. al. Risk of scrapie in British sheep of different prion protein genotype. Journal of General Virology 85(9), 2735-2740.
  57. & A scrapie epidemic in Cyprus. Epidemiology and Infection 132(4), 751-760.
  58. & Investigation of trace elements in soil as risk factors in the epidemiology of scrapie. Veterinary Record 154(26), 809-813.
  59. & Incidence, clinical patterns, and outcomes of primary sclerosing cholangitis in South Wales, United Kingdom. Gastroenterology 126(7), 1929-1930.
  60. & Repeated challenge with prion disease: The risk of infection and impact on incubation period. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 100(19), 10960-10965.
  61. et. al. Epidemiological implications of the susceptibility to BSE of putatively resistant sheep. Journal of General Virology 84(12), 3503-3512.
  62. & Risk Assessmnents on BSE. Veterinary Record 152(26), 816-816.
  63. & Clinical signs in sheep experimentally infected with scrapie and BSE. Veterinary Record 152(11), 333-334.
  64. & Searching for BSE in sheep: Interpreting the results so far. Veterinary Record 152(10), 298-299.
  65. & Mutation rates: estimating phase variation rates when fitness differences are present and their impact on population structure. Microbiology 149(2), 485-495.
  66. & Results of a postal survey in 2002 into the occurrence of scrapie in Great Britain. Veterinary Record 153(25), 782-783.
  67. & BSE – a wolf in sheep's clothing?. Trends in Microbiology 10(12), 563-570.
  68. & Cyclo-oxygenase inhibitors protect against prion-induced neurotoxicity in vitro. NeuroReport 13(15), 1933-1938.
  69. et. al. A Model for Estimating Total Parasite Load in Falciparum Malaria Patients. Journal of Theoretical Biology 217(2), 137-148.
  70. et. al. Induction of T Helper Type 1 and 2 Responses to 19-Kilodalton Merozoite Surface Protein 1 in Vaccinated Healthy Volunteers and Adults Naturally Exposed to Malaria. Infection and Immunity 70(3), 1417-1421.
  71. et. al. The Potential Size and Duration of an Epidemic of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in British Sheep. Science 295(5553), 332-335.
  72. & Modelling the national scrapie eradication programme in the UK. Mathematical Biosciences 174(2), 61-76.
  73. et. al. Unique T Cell Effector Functions Elicited by Plasmodium falciparum Epitopes in Malaria-Exposed Africans Tested by Three T Cell Assays. The Journal of Immunology 167(8), 4729-4737.
  74. & Modelling host cell availability and the crowding effect in Eimeria infections. International Journal for Parasitology 31(10), 1070-1081.
  75. & The flock-to-flock force of infection for scrapie in Britain. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 268(1467), 587-592.
  76. & Scrapie in Britain during the BSE years. Nature 406(6796), 584-585.
  77. & Descriptive epidemiology of scrapie in Great Britain: results of a postal survey. Veterinary Record 146(16), 455-461.
  78. & Scrapie transmission in Britain: a recipe for a mathematical model. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 266(1437), 2531-2538.
  79. & Scrapie occurrence in Great Britain. Veterinary Record 145(14), 405-406.
  80. & Sprucing up one's impact factor. Nature 401(6751), 321-322.
  81. et. al. Altered peptide ligands narrow the repertoire of cellular immune responses by interfering with T-cell priming. Nature Medicine 5, 565-571.
  82. et. al. Inducible nitric oxide synthase polymorphism and fatal cerebral malaria. The Lancet 352(9135), 1193-1194.
  83. & An analysis of the temperature effects of fever on the intra-host population dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum. Parasitology 117(2), 97-105.
  84. & Estimating sequestered parasite population dynamics in cerebral malaria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 95(13), 7620-7624.
  85. & Models for the in-host dynamics of malaria revisited: errors in some basic models lead to large over-estimates of growth rates. Parasitology 117(5), 409-410.
  86. & The regulation of malaria parasitaemia: Parameter estimates for a population model. Parasitology 110(2), 115-122.
  87. & Linear filters and nonlinear forecasting. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 256(1346), 157-161.

Other Research Outputs

  1. (1995). The population biology of Plasmoodium falciparum within the human host.