Professor
Swansea University Medical School
Telephone: (01792) 602021
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I am Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiology at the Institute of Life Science. I lead the Biomarkers and Genes Research Theme, and am involved in a wide range of projects based on the application of statistical models to problems in biogical, medical and environmental sciences. My first degree was Natural Sciences at Cambridge, followed by a DPhil at the Department of Zoology at Oxford, supported by a NERC award. I took an MRC Fellowship to the Institute of Molecular Medicine at Oxford University (now the Weatherall Institute) and then joined a large BBSRC project during the BSE crisis to work at the Institute for Animal Health, Compton. I joined the Swansea College of Medicine as a Senior Lecturer in 2003, and was appointed to a personal Chair in 2007. My research ranges from analysis of large linked health databases (within the PPHI College Research Theme), to modelling of infectious diseases, statistical models of viral evolution (with colleagues in San Diego and Cambridge) and biomarkers for the impact of climate change on environmental systems (with colleagues at Deakin University, Australia).

Areas of Expertise

  • Statistical Methods
  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Biology

Publications

  1. The role of point-of-care assessment of platelet function in predicting postoperative bleeding and transfusion requirements after coronary artery bypass grafting. Annals of Cardiac Anaesthesia 18(1), 45-51.
  2. & Random migration processes between two stochastic epidemic centers. Mathematical Biosciences 274, 45-57.
  3. et. al. A spherical-plot solution to linking acceleration metrics with animal performance, state, behaviour and lifestyle. Movement Ecology 4(1)
  4. & Classification of accelerometer wear and non-wear events in seconds for monitoring free-living physical activity. BMJ Open 5(5), e007447-e007447.
  5. et. al. Factors associated with low fitness in adolescents – A mixed methods study. BMC Public Health 14(1), 764

See more...

Teaching

  • BIOM25B Science Skills and Research Methods

    This intensive lecture and practical based module covers science skills for students wishing to pursue postgraduate studies, including MSc, MRes, MPhil and PhD degrees. It will teach students how to make good use of library and internet resources (including Web of Science, Voyager and Blackboard), to design and analyse their experiments, and to make presentations of their data during conferences and symposia. It will provide PG students in the Department of Biosciences (and other Departments in the College of Science) with the research and analytical skills necessary to carry out their research projects. It will teach them how to formulate and test scientific hypotheses, and how to generate and analyse scientific results using a variety of research methods. Lecture topics include Reporting and Presentation skills, Numerical skills, Philosophy and Methodology of Science, and Biostatistics. The lectures are taught during the first part of the Semester. The module is examined through a combination of CA (50%) and Examination in the form of a MCQ test (50%). Basic reading: Whitlock, M. and Schluter, D. (2014) The Analysis of Biological Data (Roberts & Co.). Crawley, M.J. (2005) Statistics: An Introduction Using R (Wiley). Original research papers given in reading list

  • PM-238 Biostatistics

    This module covers a number of principles of biological data analysis using statistical software.

  • PM-238C Ystadegau Biolegol

    Mae¿r modiwl hwn yn cwmpasu nifer o egwyddorion dadansoddi data biolegol drwy ddefnyddio meddalwedd ystadegol.

  • PM-304 Biomolecular Research Project

    *

  • PMRM00 Introduction to the practice of Medical Physicists & Clinical Engineers in Health Care

    Provides a broad-based overview of the Medical Physics & Clinical Engineering discipline.

  • PMRM02 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences

    This module explores the concepts, principles and applications of various approaches to data analysis and interpretation for both qualitative (including thematic content analysis) and quantitative methods (including analysis of difference, variance and relationship).

  • PMRM08 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences (PT Research Only)

    This module explores the concepts, principles and applications of various approaches to data analysis and interpretation for both qualitative (including thematic content analysis) and quantitative methods (including analysis of difference, variance and relationship).

  • PMZM10 Data Analysis for Health and Medical Sciences

    This module explores the concepts, principles and applications of various approaches to data analysis and interpretation for both qualitative (including thematic content analysis) and quantitative methods (including analysis of difference, variance and relationship).

Supervision

  • Electronic record linkage cohort study of hrombotic and hemorrhagic events in patients with coronary heart disease and atrial fibrillation (current)

    Student name:
    MPhil
    Other supervisor: Prof Julian Halcox
  • Improving Denguie Prevention and Control in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (current)

    Student name:
    PhD
    Other supervisor: Dr Owen Bodger
  • Untitled (current)

    Student name:
    MSc
    Other supervisor: Dr Gareth Noble
  • 'The application of data mining to support the understanding of complex public health issues' (awarded 2015)

    Student name:
    PhD
    Other supervisor: Prof Sinead Brophy
    Other supervisor: Dr Owen Bodger
  • '''Probiotic supplementation in the prevention of childhood atopy: Electronic follow-up of a double-blind randomised controlled trail.''' (awarded 2015)

    Student name:
    MSc
    Other supervisor: Prof Sue Jordan
  • 'The applications of machine learning methods to predict survival in patients with breast cancer' (awarded 2014)

    Student name:
    PhD
    Other supervisor: Prof Paul Lewis
    Other supervisor: Professor Robert Leonard
  • 'Human health, nuisance plankton and climate change: data mining the continuous plankton recorder' (awarded 2012)

    Student name:
    PhD
    Other supervisor: Dr Owen Bodger
    Other supervisor: Prof Graeme Hays
  • On Parameter Estimation in Mixture of Exponentials & Geometric Distributions, and Hidden Markov Models with Applications in Medical Biology (awarded 2010)

    Student name:
    PhD
    Other supervisor: Dr Seyed-Assadollah Jalali-Naini
  • Asthma and Th2 Immunity - the impact of Genetic Factors and Obesity (awarded 2007)

    Student name:
    MD
    Other supervisor: Prof Julian Hopkin

Administrative Responsibilities

  • Member - College of Medicine Research Committee

    2003 - Present

  • Member - College of Medicine Higher Degrees Committee

    2003 - Present

  • Member - College of Medicine Research Executive

    2013 - Present

  • Theme Leader - Biomarkers and Genes

    2013 - Present

External Responsibilities

  • Member, Scientific Steering Committee of the European Union Panels

    1998 - 2002

  • Member, European Food Standards Agency Biohazard Risk Assessment Panels

    2002 - Present

  • Academic Editor, PLosOne

    2008 - 2014

  • Editorial Board Member, Royal Society Biology Letters

    2012 - Present

  • External Examiner, Biological Sciences Undergraduate Degree University of Oxford

    2008 - 2010